28/Feb/2021 — #Greyville Polytrack was #Scottsville
The Revised High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. The computer is only taking Due, Value, and bets over 3.5. There is the old logic of selecting amounts which needs to be redone in line with this betting strategy.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | COMMENT | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Iron Bark | *due* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.23 | 23.89% | 25.57% | 55.00% | 26.95% | 4.55 | 1.72 | 0.95 | 0.54 |
1 | 9 | Crested Eagle | — | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.43 | 22.89% | 19.58% | 49.36% | 72.50% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 0.48 |
2 | 10 | Trumpet Voluntary | — | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 23.72% | 21.23% | 49.90% | 10.00% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
2 | 8 | After The Rain | — | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 23.29% | 23.33% | 50.58% | 26.95% | 3.03 | 1.21 | 0.63 | 0.36 |
3 | 7 | Coromandel | — | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 27.42% | 26.09% | 55.88% | 56.95% | 1.82 | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.25 |
3 | 4 | Sonjador | *due* *val* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 8.26 | 26.00% | 21.63% | 68.74% | 12.45% | 8.33 | 3.33 | 1.83 | 1.16 |
4 | 4 | Count Marsh | — | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.95 | 27.71% | 23.71% | 60.19% | 29.74% | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.25 | 0.80 |
4 | 14 | Fight Song | — | Place 3 | 1.00 | 2.56 | 27.42% | 20.17% | 53.61% | 16.68% | 6.67 | 2.80 | 1.66 | 1.06 |
5 | 5 | Twice Golden | — | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 27.61% | 22.69% | 57.78% | 22.42% | 1.67 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.16 |
5 | 7 | The Appeal | — | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.38 | 26.48% | 23.39% | 58.98% | 16.52% | 5.00 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 0.50 |
6 | 3 | Princekresh | — | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 28.44% | 22.58% | 54.35% | 26.95% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.88 | 0.52 |
6 | 1 | Storm Chaser | *due* | Place 2 | 1.00 | 3.09 | 28.31% | 29.07% | 68.71% | 15.23% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.72 |
7 | 1 | Lord Of The Manor | *val* | Place 3 | 1.00 | 2.61 | 24.69% | 21.35% | 50.72% | 10.04% | 7.14 | 2.99 | 1.71 | 1.07 |
7 | 7 | Alado’S Pride | *due* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.95 | 22.62% | 18.30% | 61.10% | 12.45% | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 0.75 |
8 | 9 | Bhakka | — | Place 2 | 2.00 | 7.62 | 27.31% | 21.54% | 61.37% | 10.00% | 7.14 | 2.99 | 1.78 | 1.07 |
8 | 1 | H Two O | *due* *val* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 8.56 | 26.35% | 21.40% | 66.91% | 12.45% | 8.33 | 3.49 | 2.08 | 1.24 |
9 | 10 | She’S A Keeper | *val* | Win | 1.00 | 2.25 | 32.45% | 32.26% | 61.13% | 26.95% | 1.33 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.17 |
9 | 6 | Peaceontherocks | *due* *val* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 10.93 | 24.00% | 23.78% | 57.84% | 10.15% | 12.50 | 4.75 | 2.62 | 1.62 |
Invest Amount: 23.00 <–> Gain Amount: 75.65 <–> Expected Profit: 52.65 = 228.91% <–> Confidence: 14.81%
27/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein now #Vaal
The Revised High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. There are a few changes.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | COMMENT | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Freedom Of Choice | 1 | — | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.06 | 27.11% | 23.71% | 57.86% | 12.09% | 0.63 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
1 | 8 | Twice The Trip | – | *due* *val* | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.48 | 25.73% | 30.36% | 61.96% | 10.00% | 3.57 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 0.17 |
2 | 5 | Kuuma | 3 | — | Win | 5.00 | 23.80 | 26.14% | 30.42% | 58.24% | 10.00% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 0.48 |
2 | 4 | Kotinos | 1 | — | Place 2 | 4.00 | 11.93 | 25.92% | 20.71% | 58.32% | 10.09% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.16 | 0.66 |
3 | 1 | Royal Wulff | – | — | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 26.87% | 23.70% | 61.13% | 10.00% | 0.56 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
3 | 5 | Flying Bull | 2 | *val* | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.56 | 26.86% | 23.09% | 55.73% | 12.09% | 2.86 | 0.68 | 0.22 | 0.11 |
4 | 1 | Naarah | – | *due* | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.09 | 33.56% | 38.11% | 72.50% | 10.25% | 0.72 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
4 | 2 | Bella Chica | 4 | *val* | Place 2 | 3.00 | 7.40 | 25.51% | 19.30% | 52.29% | 10.83% | 6.25 | 1.56 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
5 | 3 | Arctic Skyline | – | *val* | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.56 | 29.88% | 22.59% | 54.79% | 42.09% | 4.55 | 1.36 | 0.63 | 0.00 |
5 | 4 | Captain’s Run | – | — | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.13 | 26.99% | 24.44% | 58.35% | 35.83% | 2.00 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
6 | 7 | Rapid Fire | – | *due* | Place 2 | 5.00 | 13.08 | 31.72% | 25.99% | 73.01% | 44.44% | 4.55 | 1.72 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
6 | 2 | Anna Capri | – | — | Place 4 | 5.00 | 8.62 | 29.00% | 23.12% | 54.11% | 13.33% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.22 | 0.77 |
7 | 4 | Rio’s Winter | – | — | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.23 | 27.78% | 21.49% | 64.05% | 51.39% | 4.55 | 1.72 | 0.91 | 0.54 |
7 | 5 | Wisteria Walk | 2 | — | Place 4 | 5.00 | 7.26 | 27.52% | 24.52% | 64.23% | 15.60% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.80 | 0.48 |
8 | 5 | Ivalo’s Prince | – | *val* | Place 4 | 4.00 | 4.94 | 28.55% | 23.78% | 57.68% | 10.20% | 5.00 | 1.55 | 0.65 | 0.25 |
8 | 1 | Eliud | 3 | — | Place 3 | 3.00 | 3.59 | 28.55% | 22.49% | 54.70% | 11.16% | 1.67 | 0.51 | 0.21 | 0.08 |
9 | 2 | Dancing Arabian | – | *val* | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.27 | 28.00% | 22.22% | 57.89% | 45.76% | 3.03 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.24 |
9 | 1 | Rosaprima | 1 | *val* | Place 4 | 4.00 | 4.30 | 25.62% | 20.11% | 53.49% | 36.67% | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.08 |
Invest Amount: 59.00 <–> Gain Amount: 117.32 <–> Expected Profit: 58.32 = 98.85% <–> Confidence: 10.00%
27/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ambiorix | 2 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.14 | 25.52% | 24.27% | 63.40% | 31.11% | 0.63 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
1 | 2 | Barzalona *due* | 4 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 7.64 | 23.34% | 28.87% | 72.23% | 45.38% | 3.33 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2 | 6 | Winter Mosaic *due* | 2 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 5.85 | 27.36% | 29.98% | 69.57% | 18.62% | 0.72 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2 | 1 | Gimme Dat *due* | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 4.75 | 24.06% | 35.23% | 75.34% | 36.51% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 2 | Bayberry *due* | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 22.83% | 25.05% | 60.15% | 18.62% | 1.25 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 1 | Strathdon | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.99 | 22.63% | 19.41% | 51.39% | 24.96% | 1.43 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
4 | 9 | Sing Out Loud *due**val* | 4 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 11.16 | 20.16% | 23.94% | 62.05% | 33.19% | 6.25 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 0.00 |
4 | 4 | African Night Sky | – | Place 3 | 7.00 | 11.15 | 18.63% | 24.74% | 59.35% | 18.62% | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.00 |
5 | 1 | Clouds Unfold *due* | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 25.75% | 37.93% | 76.46% | 62.05% | 0.91 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
5 | 4 | Sleeping Single | – | Place 2 | 6.00 | 11.19 | 16.09% | 23.19% | 56.29% | 18.62% | 7.14 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
6 | 2 | Kasimir *due* | – | Win | 7.00 | 21.94 | 24.18% | 29.25% | 67.50% | 18.62% | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
6 | 3 | Rio Querari *due* | 1 | Place 3 | 7.00 | 7.92 | 23.59% | 35.23% | 75.33% | 28.74% | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
7 | 5 | The Gatekeeper | 3 | Place 3 | 7.00 | 8.45 | 18.73% | 29.25% | 67.50% | 18.62% | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
7 | 2 | Russian Rock | – | Place 3 | 6.00 | 10.79 | 18.34% | 21.99% | 61.81% | 13.61% | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.00 |
8 | 13 | Mounia | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 16.62% | 23.44% | 59.67% | 22.49% | 4.00 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
8 | 2 | Edgartown*val* | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 17.53 | 16.52% | 20.91% | 55.51% | 23.79% | 10.00 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
9 | 12 | Queen Niyabah*val* | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 5.45 | 20.15% | 21.30% | 61.08% | 40.48% | 6.25 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
9 | 8 | Paper Trail*val* | 3 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 5.45 | 17.63% | 20.36% | 52.59% | 22.22% | 6.25 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Invest Amount: 82.00 <–> Gain Amount: 141.99 <–> Expected Profit: 59.99 = 73.16% <–> Confidence: 31.11%
26/Feb/2021 — #Fairview
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Old Glory *due* | 3 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 29.01% | 37.00% | 71.43% | 28.94% | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
1 | 1 | Cruzador*val* | 1 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 5.19 | 27.81% | 24.37% | 59.57% | 19.41% | 2.27 | 0.27 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
2 | 3 | Gin Fizz | 4 | Win | 3.00 | 4.78 | 32.86% | 34.64% | 66.09% | 42.27% | 0.63 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
2 | 2 | La Bella Mia*val* | 2 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.88 | 24.26% | 23.20% | 57.26% | 49.41% | 5.00 | 1.25 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
3 | 4 | Stepitupbaby | – | Place 4 | 4.00 | 5.65 | 19.96% | 17.05% | 45.54% | 14.61% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.80 | 0.44 |
3 | 2 | Rooibos | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 8.36 | 18.07% | 19.57% | 57.71% | 31.63% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
4 | 3 | Demonte | 2 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.05 | 21.13% | 19.38% | 49.76% | 45.60% | 1.67 | 0.56 | 0.23 | 0.11 |
4 | 1 | Bezos | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.15 | 16.88% | 17.75% | 47.02% | 13.02% | 1.82 | 0.61 | 0.25 | 0.12 |
5 | 1 | Atyaab | 1 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 6.62 | 27.35% | 20.85% | 53.00% | 14.61% | 0.56 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
5 | 2 | Rock Aloe | – | Place 3 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 24.09% | 23.96% | 58.29% | 58.94% | 2.86 | 0.57 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
6 | 6 | Beyond Temtation | – | Place 2 | 8.00 | 34.85 | 16.15% | 14.67% | 48.65% | 11.17% | 8.50 | 3.57 | 2.04 | 1.36 |
6 | 8 | Cerelia | 2 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 4.28 | 16.10% | 16.27% | 47.70% | 31.63% | 8.33 | 3.49 | 1.99 | 1.33 |
7 | 1 | Global Drummer | 1 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 3.28 | 26.22% | 22.42% | 55.10% | 47.18% | 1.25 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
7 | 6 | Tarantino | 2 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.08 | 18.59% | 19.53% | 49.42% | 47.46% | 1.11 | 0.28 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
8 | 5 | Frankie Two Shoes*val* | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 10.88 | 19.16% | 24.43% | 60.90% | 10.00% | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.25 | 0.80 |
8 | 1 | Winter Tango*val* | 1 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 7.01 | 17.84% | 20.74% | 59.39% | 11.17% | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.25 | 0.80 |
Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 114.84 <–> Expected Profit: 57.84 = 101.47% <–> Confidence: 29.77%
25/Feb/2021 — #Vaal
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I’ve added in an experimental Due and Value bets suffix.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Siren Of Greece *due* | 4 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 32.49% | 33.56% | 74.65% | 10.00% | 0.50 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
1 | 2 | Rizzoli*val* | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 15.53 | 25.49% | 21.56% | 56.38% | 12.81% | 8.33 | 2.24 | 0.99 | 0.58 |
2 | 2 | Sweet Sensation*val* | 4 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 30.29% | 25.14% | 62.67% | 58.89% | 2.27 | 0.40 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
2 | 5 | Al Sakeet | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.34 | 27.71% | 23.68% | 63.37% | 14.82% | 0.72 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
3 | 9 | Supreme Dance | 1 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.24 | 26.98% | 23.66% | 59.33% | 12.22% | 1.33 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 0.13 |
3 | 1 | Lazy Guy *due* | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.32 | 24.04% | 16.32% | 64.02% | 44.64% | 4.00 | 1.40 | 0.68 | 0.40 |
4 | 1 | Golden Spoon *due**val* | 4 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 17.90 | 28.68% | 25.91% | 66.10% | 19.79% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.11 | 0.72 |
4 | 9 | Bat Out Of Hell | 1 | Place 4 | 6.00 | 7.07 | 26.52% | 19.97% | 60.52% | 30.17% | 1.52 | 0.57 | 0.30 | 0.19 |
5 | 5 | Don’t Look Back | 1 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 10.29 | 27.20% | 23.65% | 58.62% | 11.77% | 2.00 | 0.76 | 0.44 | 0.28 |
5 | 13 | Plum Field*val* | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 7.43 | 25.94% | 17.86% | 45.01% | 10.00% | 7.14 | 2.71 | 1.57 | 0.99 |
6 | 5 | August Rain | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.09 | 27.96% | 23.70% | 61.85% | 40.34% | 3.33 | 1.16 | 0.53 | 0.23 |
6 | 4 | Prospector *due* | 2 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 8.66 | 27.64% | 27.60% | 64.33% | 21.38% | 3.57 | 1.24 | 0.57 | 0.24 |
7 | 8 | Un Deux Trois | 2 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 8.29 | 27.14% | 18.58% | 49.56% | 11.35% | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.15 | 0.70 |
7 | 3 | Sun Giant | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 10.02 | 25.49% | 16.66% | 52.38% | 11.22% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.56 |
8 | 5 | Anatura*val* | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 16.14 | 23.81% | 19.82% | 51.58% | 14.26% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.25 | 0.68 |
8 | 2 | Supa Mufti*val* | – | Place 2 | 6.00 | 13.61 | 22.06% | 15.36% | 47.47% | 14.07% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.71 | 0.39 |
Invest Amount: 62.00 <–> Gain Amount: 131.55 <–> Expected Profit: 69.55 = 112.18% <–> Confidence: 10.50%
24/Feb/2021 — Hollywoodbets #Greyville Polytrack
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Southern Cape | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 27.09% | 21.84% | 57.28% | 23.55% | 1.67 | 0.53 | 0.21 | 0.10 |
1 | 2 | Gin And Tonic | 2 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 25.97% | 21.01% | 54.15% | 40.00% | 2.00 | 0.64 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
2 | 7 | Sonny Quinn | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.08 | 30.82% | 22.77% | 58.16% | 53.55% | 2.86 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 0.34 |
2 | 5 | Stanton Street | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.98 | 30.00% | 26.87% | 60.64% | 15.49% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.11 | 0.66 |
3 | 2 | Zodiac Princess | – | Win | 5.00 | 12.85 | 32.89% | 32.64% | 64.05% | 23.55% | 1.67 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.18 |
3 | 6 | Another Love | 3 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 6.56 | 28.14% | 22.05% | 58.79% | 18.97% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.25 | 0.68 |
4 | 2 | Flying Peter | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.82 | 28.79% | 29.45% | 64.63% | 10.00% | 2.86 | 0.97 | 0.48 | 0.25 |
4 | 5 | Deorsa | 4 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 4.35 | 28.10% | 26.04% | 63.90% | 30.03% | 1.43 | 0.48 | 0.24 | 0.12 |
5 | 6 | Simply Complicated | 3 | Win | 6.00 | 24.78 | 28.39% | 26.01% | 60.86% | 25.13% | 3.33 | 1.13 | 0.46 | 0.26 |
5 | 1 | Koopa Troopa | 4 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.85 | 26.61% | 27.18% | 66.03% | 11.21% | 0.91 | 0.30 | 0.12 | 0.07 |
6 | 7 | The Bayou | 4 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 13.55 | 29.72% | 22.77% | 58.42% | 23.92% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.63 |
6 | 1 | Origami | 2 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.72 | 27.98% | 29.08% | 70.24% | 11.58% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.27 | 0.77 |
7 | 10 | Aalsmeer | 4 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 2.01 | 24.34% | 20.34% | 60.84% | 43.33% | 7.14 | 2.85 | 1.71 | 1.07 |
7 | 1 | Justadoreher | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 6.70 | 23.51% | 18.62% | 65.38% | 11.21% | 6.25 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.93 |
8 | 5 | Glitter And Gold | – | Place 4 | 4.00 | 7.12 | 25.10% | 24.54% | 61.79% | 11.21% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
8 | 11 | Ginger Biscuit | – | Place 2 | 6.00 | 24.78 | 25.07% | 27.28% | 52.16% | 10.83% | 8.33 | 3.33 | 1.99 | 1.24 |
Invest Amount: 51.00 <–> Gain Amount: 129.85 <–> Expected Profit: 78.85 = 154.61% <–> Confidence: 10.00%
23/Feb/2021 — #Vaal
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 6 | Grappler | 3 | Win | 5.00 | 13.55 | 26.91% | 26.21% | 63.44% | 10.00% | 1.82 | 0.61 | 0.30 | 0.16 |
1 | 9 | South Boy | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.35 | 26.71% | 22.98% | 63.58% | 15.62% | 2.86 | 0.97 | 0.48 | 0.25 |
2 | 4 | Sky Kingdom | – | Place 4 | 5.00 | 7.30 | 26.73% | 21.67% | 63.40% | 10.00% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.78 | 0.49 |
2 | 1 | Country Mile | 3 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.46 | 26.13% | 21.73% | 58.61% | 12.53% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.78 | 0.49 |
3 | 6 | Lagertha | – | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 29.58% | 23.99% | 63.68% | 15.07% | 2.50 | 0.95 | 0.45 | 0.30 |
3 | 1 | Ice Eater | 3 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.37 | 26.17% | 19.94% | 52.54% | 10.00% | 1.67 | 0.63 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
4 | 5 | Mind Reader | 1 | Win | 4.00 | 10.28 | 31.08% | 32.11% | 64.65% | 15.00% | 1.67 | 0.56 | 0.28 | 0.13 |
4 | 1 | All Of Me | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.69 | 29.16% | 21.82% | 60.93% | 42.53% | 3.57 | 1.21 | 0.60 | 0.28 |
5 | 3 | Bella Black | 4 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 3.02 | 29.95% | 24.07% | 63.04% | 10.18% | 2.86 | 1.02 | 0.54 | 0.28 |
5 | 5 | Informative | – | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 27.94% | 27.67% | 63.21% | 10.00% | 2.00 | 0.72 | 0.38 | 0.20 |
6 | 3 | Putins Promise | 3 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.24 | 25.71% | 17.83% | 48.61% | 25.86% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.11 | 0.66 |
6 | 5 | Harrys Secret | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.41 | 25.24% | 21.22% | 59.53% | 12.15% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
7 | 2 | Full Mast | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.69 | 26.32% | 19.96% | 55.21% | 12.40% | 3.57 | 1.21 | 0.60 | 0.32 |
7 | 1 | Seven Patriots | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 16.37 | 24.71% | 18.30% | 51.60% | 16.00% | 7.14 | 2.42 | 1.21 | 0.64 |
8 | 7 | Oscar Wilde | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 20.65 | 25.23% | 17.87% | 52.67% | 27.15% | 8.33 | 3.33 | 1.83 | 1.16 |
8 | 1 | Against The Grain | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 9.26 | 24.42% | 19.96% | 53.23% | 10.00% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.77 |
9 | 5 | Nussply | 2 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 9.26 | 25.43% | 24.18% | 55.99% | 28.65% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.72 |
9 | 1 | Irish Rain | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 16.75 | 25.42% | 19.02% | 55.62% | 10.18% | 6.25 | 2.50 | 1.37 | 0.81 |
Invest Amount: 60.00 <–> Gain Amount: 144.78 <–> Expected Profit: 84.78 = 141.30% <–> Confidence: 10.00%
22/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 9 | Maria Querol | – | Place 2 | 4.00 | 5.47 | 28.96% | 35.26% | 69.78% | 15.28% | 1.11 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.11 |
1 | 8 | Jewel Of Doha | 1 | Place 2 | 9.00 | 30.74 | 26.80% | 23.76% | 69.21% | 26.30% | 7.14 | 2.57 | 1.28 | 0.71 |
2 | 5 | Camps Bay | 2 | Place 2 | 9.00 | 11.37 | 28.22% | 28.78% | 56.59% | 48.94% | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
2 | 7 | Real Advisor | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.51 | 25.98% | 22.17% | 66.90% | 32.01% | 5.56 | 1.55 | 0.66 | 0.27 |
3 | 1 | Secret Depths | 4 | Place 2 | 8.00 | 23.04 | 29.26% | 21.69% | 58.01% | 23.33% | 6.25 | 2.00 | 0.93 | 0.50 |
3 | 3 | Brave New World | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 28.25% | 24.59% | 61.41% | 35.60% | 1.11 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.08 |
4 | 1 | Dark Travel | – | Win | 9.00 | 42.84 | 30.23% | 29.88% | 70.11% | 15.28% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.56 |
4 | 5 | Opera Swing | – | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.86 | 28.35% | 23.30% | 59.69% | 35.60% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.56 |
5 | 7 | Salvator Mundi | 1 | Win | 5.00 | 19.24 | 30.75% | 29.54% | 69.38% | 15.28% | 3.03 | 1.09 | 0.51 | 0.27 |
5 | 8 | Double Charge | 3 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.71 | 30.34% | 29.73% | 74.99% | 32.01% | 4.00 | 1.44 | 0.68 | 0.36 |
6 | 1 | Ohwhatanight | 1 | Place 2 | 8.00 | 11.38 | 29.37% | 25.14% | 69.16% | 35.54% | 1.43 | 0.45 | 0.21 | 0.08 |
6 | 3 | Celtic Night | – | Place 3 | 7.00 | 10.22 | 27.85% | 25.15% | 66.60% | 31.76% | 3.33 | 1.06 | 0.49 | 0.19 |
7 | 1 | Mr Cobbs | – | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 28.75% | 25.15% | 69.16% | 35.54% | 2.86 | 0.91 | 0.45 | 0.22 |
7 | 3 | Real Gone Kid | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.55 | 28.67% | 22.38% | 57.96% | 35.60% | 1.82 | 0.58 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
8 | 3 | Fighter | – | Place 3 | 9.00 | 16.11 | 28.47% | 24.70% | 59.82% | 55.71% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 0.52 |
8 | 1 | De Bull | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 23.87% | 19.94% | 56.24% | 29.06% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 0.52 |
Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 201.79 <–> Expected Profit: 117.79 = 140.23% <–> Confidence: 33.61%
20/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Standside
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. It seems like there’s still a bit of work required especially for the latter races, but that’s next week’s work. Updated the table taking the scratchings into account.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 5 | Warrior Captain | 4 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 26.41% | 21.30% | 59.38% | 22.78% | 4.55 | 0.95 | 0.31 | 0.00 |
1 | 3 | Retallick | 2 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 25.73% | 20.54% | 62.32% | 17.78% | 0.40 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
2 | 2 | Bureau Des Legende | 3 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 6.32 | 26.74% | 25.43% | 61.84% | 12.69% | 2.00 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.12 |
2 | 7 | There She Goes | 2 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 5.58 | 25.34% | 20.76% | 56.04% | 15.00% | 1.43 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 0.08 |
3 | 1 | Lucy Belle | 4 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 27.68% | 26.78% | 63.84% | 12.73% | 1.82 | 0.63 | 0.32 | 0.18 |
3 | 5 | Aflame | 1 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.45 | 26.29% | 21.60% | 58.14% | 10.00% | 3.33 | 1.16 | 0.59 | 0.33 |
4 | 1 | Riccardo | – | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 26.63% | 21.14% | 63.37% | 14.45% | 2.50 | 0.87 | 0.42 | 0.20 |
4 | 10 | Sarsaparilla | 3 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.36 | 25.92% | 22.87% | 65.01% | 23.51% | 2.27 | 0.79 | 0.38 | 0.18 |
5 | 1 | Chimichuri Run | 1 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.23 | 29.12% | 26.00% | 65.67% | 12.60% | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 0.08 |
5 | 9 | Battleoftrafalgar | 4 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 4.98 | 24.30% | 18.10% | 54.11% | 10.00% | 3.33 | 1.09 | 0.49 | 0.26 |
6 | 1 | Barahin | – | Win | 4.00 | 14.75 | 28.08% | 26.78% | 69.68% | 10.18% | 2.86 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 0.31 |
6 | 2 | Divine Odyssey | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.43 | 28.04% | 22.54% | 61.60% | 10.77% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.80 | 0.44 |
7 | 1 | Shah Akbar | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.01 | 28.33% | 24.04% | 60.88% | 10.00% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.48 |
7 | 2 | Puerto Manzano | 2 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.94 | 26.85% | 22.32% | 64.28% | 13.37% | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
8 | 8 | Kay Tee Perry | 2 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 29.64% | 25.18% | 64.79% | 40.94% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.05 | 0.60 |
8 | 9 | Seehaam | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.86 | 26.59% | 24.04% | 60.13% | 10.00% | 2.00 | 0.76 | 0.42 | 0.24 |
9 | 6 | Miracle And Wonder | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 16.75 | 28.35% | 23.55% | 62.04% | 12.60% | 6.25 | 2.50 | 1.37 | 0.81 |
9 | 4 | Phoenix | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.88 | 27.02% | 24.62% | 63.47% | 10.37% | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.32 |
Invest Amount: 47.00 <–> Gain Amount: 90.77 <–> Expected Profit: 43.77 = 93.13% <–> Confidence: 10.00%
19/Feb/2021 — #Fairview
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Some high probability “due” horses: 4-12-Imperious Duke, 5-5-Roman Royalty, 7-10-Joyful Noise, 8-11-Abia
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Swazi Queen | 2 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 11.08 | 28.47% | 23.55% | 60.55% | 63.33% | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.25 |
1 | 3 | Zeta Jones | 1 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 10.36 | 27.20% | 21.35% | 54.84% | 11.93% | 1.43 | 0.51 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
2 | 1 | Marmara Sea | 4 | Win | 8.00 | 15.52 | 32.97% | 34.89% | 66.90% | 28.12% | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
2 | 4 | Arctic Drift | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 2.58 | 28.66% | 23.36% | 59.59% | 33.33% | 1.25 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
3 | 6 | Cape Batis | 3 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.03 | 28.64% | 26.57% | 64.86% | 10.00% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.11 | 0.55 |
3 | 7 | Chai | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 32.00 | 26.43% | 21.56% | 55.21% | 20.95% | 10.00 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
4 | 11 | Winter’s Awakening | 2 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.71 | 26.86% | 21.67% | 54.71% | 11.93% | 1.82 | 0.72 | 0.38 | 0.23 |
4 | 10 | Super Noir | 4 | Place 2 | 8.00 | 33.04 | 26.17% | 22.04% | 55.93% | 20.95% | 8.33 | 3.33 | 1.74 | 1.08 |
5 | 6 | Follow The Star | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.37 | 27.74% | 21.67% | 54.71% | 11.93% | 0.63 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
5 | 3 | Kunming | 3 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 11.34 | 24.70% | 18.78% | 51.06% | 33.33% | 3.03 | 0.66 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
6 | 7 | Looks Like Magic | 2 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.50 | 29.41% | 24.65% | 61.37% | 10.00% | 3.33 | 1.33 | 0.73 | 0.43 |
6 | 4 | Trippin The Stars | – | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 26.38% | 30.10% | 51.86% | 51.81% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.00 | 0.59 |
7 | 1 | World Radar | – | Win | 2.00 | 4.09 | 33.32% | 34.21% | 65.44% | 28.12% | 1.11 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.07 |
7 | 10 | Joyful Noise | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 6.21 | 30.92% | 41.19% | 56.73% | 42.49% | 3.57 | 1.14 | 0.53 | 0.24 |
8 | 6 | Shine A Light | 2 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 11.15 | 28.26% | 23.89% | 58.65% | 58.12% | 1.67 | 0.63 | 0.35 | 0.20 |
8 | 11 | Abia | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 38.25 | 28.01% | 39.70% | 54.01% | 34.71% | 12.50 | 4.75 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
Invest Amount: 76.00 <–> Gain Amount: 194.78 <–> Expected Profit: 118.78 = 156.29% <–> Confidence: 29.47%
18/Feb/2021 — #Vaal
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I have added a confidence. These will stabilise as what the program gets more feedback and adapts accordingly.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | LINE CONFIDENCE | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 8 | Ace Of Spades | Scr | Win | 6.00 | 28.56 | 28.24% | 29.13% | 63.73% | 18.87% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.88 | 0.56 |
1 | 3 | Freezing Fast | 4 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 5.17 | 27.18% | 19.78% | 52.19% | 10.00% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.77 |
2 | 1 | Future Lady | 1 | Win | 4.00 | 8.17 | 28.29% | 26.41% | 63.35% | 10.00% | 1.11 | 0.42 | 0.23 | 0.14 |
2 | 7 | Bat Out Of Hell | 2 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 16.72 | 26.07% | 20.72% | 57.23% | 13.50% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.05 | 0.65 |
3 | 1 | Irish Willow | 4 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 2.49 | 30.98% | 22.95% | 70.02% | 12.81% | 0.83 | 0.26 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
3 | 3 | Mirren | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 8.81 | 28.28% | 21.72% | 57.79% | 11.67% | 4.00 | 1.28 | 0.60 | 0.32 |
4 | 7 | Orus Apollo | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.85 | 28.78% | 21.92% | 60.21% | 25.00% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.52 | 0.34 |
4 | 1 | Soldiers Song | – | Place 2 | 4.00 | 10.02 | 28.49% | 22.07% | 59.45% | 15.00% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.60 |
5 | 5 | May Queen | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 17.12 | 25.09% | 17.82% | 56.21% | 23.33% | 8.33 | 3.49 | 2.16 | 1.49 |
5 | 4 | Twelve Oaks | – | Place 4 | 3.00 | 7.20 | 23.35% | 15.16% | 42.87% | 10.00% | 8.33 | 3.49 | 2.16 | 1.49 |
6 | 1 | Mk’s Pride | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 2.53 | 28.41% | 22.60% | 55.38% | 12.76% | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
6 | 3 | Forever Mine | 2 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 27.49% | 25.40% | 67.11% | 11.98% | 2.00 | 0.56 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
7 | 4 | Spanish Boy | – | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 29.39% | 23.30% | 62.89% | 10.00% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 0.49 |
7 | 10 | Sea Virescent | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 13.55 | 28.27% | 23.26% | 61.73% | 10.65% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.09 | 0.63 |
8 | 4 | Dogliotti | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 5.59 | 29.10% | 22.27% | 64.47% | 11.67% | 4.55 | 1.91 | 1.13 | 0.72 |
8 | 6 | Louis The Seventh | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 11.53 | 27.89% | 21.45% | 56.43% | 11.98% | 5.56 | 2.33 | 1.39 | 0.88 |
Invest Amount: 53.00 <–> Gain Amount: 143.17 <–> Expected Profit: 90.17 = 170.13% <–> Confidence: 10.00%
17/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Yesterday, I ended up coming back late from a doctor checkup so I worked on tweaking the program a bit and preparing for the international racing, hopefully that will be up within the next week or two.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 10 | Voice Notes | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.90 | 26.90% | 20.13% | 62.64% | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 0.07 |
1 | 7 | Golden Trip | 4 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.82 | 23.96% | 20.24% | 52.27% | 6.25 | 2.00 | 0.87 | 0.43 |
2 | 5 | Safe Return | 1 | Win | 3.00 | 4.30 | 28.36% | 28.84% | 72.09% | 0.46 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.02 |
2 | 9 | You Know Who | 2 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 2.06 | 24.32% | 29.14% | 62.33% | 4.55 | 1.13 | 0.50 | 0.22 |
3 | 3 | Europeana | 1 | Win | 8.00 | 25.07 | 29.18% | 33.35% | 72.16% | 2.27 | 0.81 | 0.38 | 0.22 |
3 | 7 | Live My Life | 3 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 10.09 | 27.92% | 40.23% | 62.08% | 1.33 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 0.13 |
4 | 1 | Forgetful Girl | 1 | Win | 4.00 | 10.84 | 29.12% | 29.17% | 73.98% | 1.82 | 0.69 | 0.34 | 0.20 |
4 | 10 | Adderbury Lake | 2 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 12.66 | 27.34% | 21.78% | 63.67% | 2.27 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.24 |
5 | 3 | Superior Leader | 3 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 14.57 | 29.61% | 28.71% | 74.37% | 3.03 | 1.15 | 0.63 | 0.36 |
5 | 8 | Churchhaven | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 24.83 | 28.72% | 27.78% | 66.80% | 7.14 | 2.71 | 1.49 | 0.85 |
6 | 1 | Kitty Cat Chat | 1 | Win | 1.00 | 1.59 | 32.61% | 33.34% | 66.76% | 0.63 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.04 |
6 | 3 | Caribbean Sunset | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 16.70 | 25.09% | 21.23% | 55.68% | 8.33 | 2.49 | 1.16 | 0.58 |
7 | 4 | Marina | 1 | Win | 1.00 | 2.25 | 28.86% | 27.59% | 69.05% | 1.33 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.13 |
7 | 9 | Fynbos | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 15.58 | 27.81% | 21.91% | 55.46% | 6.25 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 0.62 |
8 | 1 | Royal Watch | – | Win | 8.00 | 55.00 | 31.21% | 33.16% | 74.68% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
8 | 2 | Warrior | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.03 | 28.63% | 28.82% | 68.36% | 1.43 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 0.17 |
Invest Amount: 72.00 <–> Gain Amount: 207.29 <–> Expected Profit: 135.29 = 187.90%
15/Feb/2021 — #Fairview Polytrack
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Still a few more tweaks that I want to do on the horse selection before I concentrate on the betting strategy again, possibly look at the exotics confidence levels of the program as well. The final betting will be done tomorrow once Hollywoodbets releases them but the horse selection should not change unless there are scratchings. This is the revised version taking into account Hollywoodbets Place 4 Odds. Below this is the original selection.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mousey On Over | 1 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.11 | 32.79% | 35.73% | 80.77% | 0.91 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.04 |
1 | 6 | Que Cosas | 3 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.08 | 27.03% | 24.02% | 61.04% | 1.82 | 0.50 | 0.21 | 0.09 |
2 | 6 | Broadside | 2 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 7.02 | 28.00% | 21.19% | 62.35% | 0.67 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
2 | 4 | Wolfgang | 3 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 9.57 | 27.93% | 26.98% | 65.32% | 8.33 | 2.33 | 0.83 | 0.00 |
3 | 4 | King Of The Moment | 3 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 25.08% | 21.53% | 56.19% | 1.52 | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.07 |
3 | 6 | Full Score | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 6.22 | 24.64% | 20.76% | 53.95% | 2.27 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.11 |
4 | 2 | Latest Craze | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.13 | 27.26% | 21.64% | 54.50% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.05 | 0.60 |
4 | 3 | Ninjinsky’s Son | 4 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 5.47 | 24.86% | 21.83% | 56.43% | 3.33 | 1.26 | 0.69 | 0.39 |
5 | 2 | Ruby Rhythm | 3 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.23 | 27.22% | 27.39% | 70.78% | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.22 |
5 | 1 | Reef Knot | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.05 | 25.99% | 28.40% | 57.73% | 3.03 | 1.09 | 0.54 | 0.27 |
6 | 1 | Aqua Delta | 1 | Win | 4.00 | 13.40 | 32.92% | 34.81% | 72.44% | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 0.20 |
6 | 4 | Duke Of Cards | 2 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.59 | 29.52% | 25.35% | 62.48% | 3.33 | 1.19 | 0.56 | 0.26 |
7 | 2 | Tawny Jet | – | Place 2 | 4.00 | 8.66 | 28.32% | 21.45% | 59.25% | 3.57 | 1.24 | 0.57 | 0.24 |
7 | 1 | Duchess Of Bourbon | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.35 | 27.03% | 21.17% | 58.61% | 3.03 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.21 |
8 | 2 | Beneficiary | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 15.43 | 27.17% | 21.33% | 53.41% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.27 | 0.77 |
8 | 4 | Cherry Pop | – | Place 2 | 4.00 | 10.84 | 26.83% | 27.42% | 70.78% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.63 |
Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 114.28 <–> Expected Profit: 57.28 = 100.49%
This is the original selections and betting strategy, above is the revised version taking into account Hollywoodbets Place 4 odds.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mousey On Over | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.23 | 33.93% | 35.73% | 80.77% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
1 | 6 | Que Cosas | 3 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 6.13 | 27.03% | 24.02% | 61.04% | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
2 | 6 | Broadside | 2 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 3.56 | 28.00% | 21.19% | 62.35% | 0.72 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2 | 4 | Wolfgang | 3 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 13.23 | 27.93% | 26.98% | 65.32% | 6.25 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 2 | Pacific Duke | Scr | Place 3 | 3.00 | 3.37 | 27.98% | 27.36% | 70.78% | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
3 | 6 | Full Score | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.94 | 24.64% | 20.76% | 53.95% | 4.55 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
4 | 2 | Latest Craze | – | Place 3 | 2.00 | 3.88 | 25.90% | 21.64% | 54.50% | 5.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
4 | 3 | Ninjinsky’s Son | 4 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.86 | 24.86% | 21.83% | 56.43% | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 0.00 |
5 | 2 | Ruby Rhythm | 3 | Win | 4.00 | 13.40 | 28.21% | 27.42% | 70.78% | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00 |
5 | 6 | Clover Club | – | Place 3 | 4.00 | 7.99 | 26.21% | 23.02% | 58.52% | 6.25 | 0.00 | 1.06 | 0.00 |
6 | 1 | Aqua Delta | 1 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 33.92% | 34.81% | 72.44% | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
6 | 4 | Duke Of Cards | 2 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.27 | 29.52% | 25.35% | 62.48% | 2.86 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
7 | 2 | Tawny Jet | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.30 | 28.32% | 21.45% | 59.25% | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.00 |
7 | 1 | Duchess Of Bourbon | – | Place 3 | 6.00 | 8.76 | 27.03% | 21.17% | 58.61% | 3.57 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00 |
8 | 4 | Cherry Pop | – | Win | 5.00 | 26.39 | 27.77% | 27.42% | 70.78% | 4.55 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 |
8 | 2 | Beneficiary | – | Place 3 | 3.00 | 6.69 | 26.35% | 21.33% | 53.41% | 6.25 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 0.00 |
Invest Amount: 54.00 <–> Gain Amount: 113.38 <–> Expected Profit: 59.38 = 109.96%
14/Feb/2021 — Hollywoodbets #Scottsville
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well the features that I implemented yesterday showed that there’s not enough data for them to be accurate and started giving some exaggerated suggestions. I have reduced the say that they have in the final outcome. Let’s see how that goes..
Revised to take into account any scratchings.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 4 | Sea Cruise | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 12.39 | 24.51% | 23.92% | 59.20% | 8.33 | 3.33 | 1.74 | 1.08 |
1 | 11 | Poppy Of Bayeux | 3 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.39 | 23.13% | 19.35% | 48.21% | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.42 | 0.26 |
2 | 7 | I’m Ready | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 6.88 | 25.56% | 18.89% | 53.93% | 2.00 | 0.76 | 0.40 | 0.24 |
2 | 9 | Flying The Star | 1 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.41 | 25.12% | 18.37% | 48.66% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
3 | 4 | Traces | 2 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 29.61% | 22.89% | 55.65% | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
3 | 5 | Filippo | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.86 | 26.83% | 20.67% | 53.15% | 3.57 | 0.92 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
4 | 7 | Legislate’s Dance | 1 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 26.14% | 22.47% | 58.40% | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 0.28 |
4 | 13 | Valencia | – | Place 2 | 3.00 | 11.66 | 25.83% | 18.36% | 50.03% | 7.69 | 3.07 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
5 | 7 | Jacob’s Ladder | 2 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 4.38 | 23.91% | 17.86% | 49.26% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.78 | 0.49 |
5 | 2 | Jackinapot | 1 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 10.73 | 23.22% | 19.04% | 45.62% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.77 |
6 | 9 | Living Waters | – | Place 3 | 2.00 | 3.80 | 24.41% | 19.01% | 45.43% | 4.00 | 1.68 | 0.96 | 0.64 |
6 | 11 | Roy’S Physco | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 4.50 | 23.20% | 15.66% | 43.98% | 8.33 | 3.49 | 1.99 | 1.33 |
7 | 9 | Matterhorn | 1 | Win | 3.00 | 10.05 | 34.42% | 38.38% | 70.44% | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 0.22 |
7 | 4 | Marchingontogether | – | Place 3 | 2.00 | 3.28 | 28.93% | 23.60% | 53.83% | 4.00 | 1.44 | 0.68 | 0.36 |
8 | 2 | Avenir | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.11 | 25.62% | 21.18% | 53.71% | 3.03 | 1.12 | 0.60 | 0.33 |
8 | 1 | Greenlighttoheaven | 2 | Place 3 | 4.00 | 6.48 | 24.21% | 19.01% | 45.04% | 3.33 | 1.23 | 0.66 | 0.36 |
9 | 6 | Final Destiny | – | Win | 3.00 | 15.83 | 27.49% | 29.51% | 64.42% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.09 | 0.68 |
9 | 11 | Cupid’s Song | 3 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.71 | 26.63% | 21.32% | 59.34% | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.75 |
Invest Amount: 44.00 <–> Gain Amount: 105.45 <–> Expected Profit: 61.45 = 139.66%
13/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Standside
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Some new features added for today’s selections in the horse selections, small but subtle will be checking it out. The win and place probabilities are reflecting too low, you are basically able to double it. I shall correct it in the next day or 2.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 5 | Ace Of Spades | – | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.42 | 30.78% | 14.68% | 37.58% | 1.67 | 0.56 | 0.28 | 0.15 |
1 | 8 | Gold Storm | 4 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 5.88 | 28.18% | 12.45% | 32.15% | 5.56 | 1.89 | 0.94 | 0.50 |
2 | 10 | Lee Express | – | Place 4 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 31.94% | 14.51% | 37.65% | 1.67 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.16 |
2 | 5 | Differentiate | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 4.41 | 27.54% | 12.75% | 34.30% | 7.14 | 2.57 | 1.28 | 0.71 |
3 | 2 | Major Winter | 1 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.17 | 33.73% | 16.25% | 38.61% | 0.87 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
3 | 9 | Dance Partner | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.94 | 27.92% | 12.50% | 32.02% | 6.25 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
4 | 2 | Rapid Fire | 2 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.41 | 33.08% | 14.23% | 37.76% | 4.00 | 1.12 | 0.44 | 0.00 |
4 | 5 | Sweet Sensation | 3 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 4.02 | 31.04% | 14.19% | 35.96% | 3.33 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
5 | 5 | Barak | – | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 33.03% | 14.44% | 38.04% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.80 | 0.44 |
5 | 9 | Apollo Robbins | 4 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 4.10 | 32.74% | 14.76% | 37.76% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.71 | 0.39 |
6 | 1 | Anything Goes | 2 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 3.23 | 30.13% | 14.18% | 36.41% | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
6 | 2 | War Of Athena | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 29.56% | 14.17% | 35.79% | 1.11 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
7 | 2 | Catch Twentytwo | 2 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.45 | 32.90% | 15.39% | 38.24% | 3.57 | 1.14 | 0.49 | 0.24 |
7 | 1 | Mount Pleasant | – | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 32.33% | 14.45% | 37.46% | 2.27 | 0.72 | 0.31 | 0.15 |
8 | 2 | True To Life | 1 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.18 | 31.69% | 13.91% | 37.23% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.63 |
8 | 3 | Bold Ransom | – | Place 4 | 3.00 | 4.58 | 30.90% | 14.72% | 36.99% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.56 |
9 | 1 | Zimbaba | 3 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.17 | 30.65% | 14.29% | 35.64% | 0.83 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
9 | 2 | Celestial Love | 1 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.41 | 30.56% | 13.86% | 37.22% | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
10 | 4 | Zouaves | – | Place 3 | 4.00 | 13.02 | 32.74% | 13.20% | 36.37% | 10.00 | 4.20 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
10 | 6 | Whorly Whorly | 3 | Place 3 | 4.00 | 8.10 | 31.20% | 13.99% | 37.14% | 4.55 | 1.91 | 1.09 | 0.63 |
Invest Amount: 51.00 <–> Gain Amount: 78.13 <–> Expected Profit: 27.13 = 53.20%
13/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. As stated above, there are a few new features used for the horse selections, which I will be watching and tweaking.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 4 | Sabina’s Prodigy | – | Place 4 | 7.00 | 15.23 | 29.94% | 25.07% | 63.91% | 12.50 | 4.37 | 2.37 | 1.25 |
1 | 3 | Piketberg Alley | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 7.68 | 28.97% | 23.43% | 68.14% | 3.03 | 1.06 | 0.57 | 0.30 |
2 | 1 | Queen Niyabah | 4 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 5.77 | 31.63% | 28.66% | 74.85% | 1.33 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.14 |
2 | 14 | Orange Bowl | – | Place 4 | 5.00 | 6.83 | 29.57% | 24.12% | 64.15% | 3.57 | 1.28 | 0.64 | 0.39 |
3 | 8 | Rose Princess | 2 | Win | 9.00 | 34.63 | 32.06% | 29.23% | 76.44% | 3.03 | 1.06 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
3 | 1 | Crimson Princess | 3 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 7.76 | 31.55% | 28.76% | 75.31% | 2.86 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.22 |
4 | 14 | Son Of Silk | 3 | Place 3 | 8.00 | 13.49 | 31.65% | 29.23% | 76.44% | 3.33 | 1.26 | 0.73 | 0.46 |
4 | 1 | Crack It Open | – | Place 2 | 7.00 | 18.32 | 27.66% | 26.64% | 70.24% | 4.55 | 1.72 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
5 | 4 | Somerset Maugham | 3 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.71 | 31.06% | 25.61% | 66.87% | 4.00 | 1.44 | 0.76 | 0.40 |
5 | 5 | Star Of The South | – | Place 2 | 6.00 | 10.57 | 29.43% | 28.47% | 71.39% | 2.27 | 0.81 | 0.43 | 0.22 |
6 | 3 | Captain Flinders | 1 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 31.82% | 28.24% | 74.61% | 2.50 | 0.80 | 0.35 | 0.15 |
6 | 1 | Knights Templar | 4 | Place 4 | 7.00 | 8.78 | 30.96% | 25.61% | 66.87% | 4.55 | 1.45 | 0.63 | 0.27 |
7 | 5 | Jailhouse Rock | – | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 33.13% | 30.20% | 75.40% | 1.52 | 0.45 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
7 | 1 | Vikram | 1 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.65 | 29.94% | 24.65% | 67.90% | 3.33 | 0.99 | 0.43 | 0.16 |
8 | 11 | Van Gogh | 3 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 32.51% | 38.79% | 78.18% | 0.83 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
8 | 7 | Tales Of Us | 2 | Place 2 | 8.00 | 20.41 | 31.91% | 29.23% | 76.44% | 5.00 | 1.65 | 0.80 | 0.45 |
Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 171.37 <–> Expected Profit: 87.37 = 104.01%
12/Feb/2021 — #Fairview
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I shall be testing some new features/tweaks for the bet selections during the course of today see if I can improve on it.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | James Gordon Jnr | – | Win | 6.00 | 15.42 | 34.62% | 30.10% | 56.37% | 1.67 | 0.31 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
1 | 3 | Norton Sound | 1 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 15.34% | 9.41% | 23.61% | 0.63 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
2 | 15 | Paris Opera | 2 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 4.07 | 28.86% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.11 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.13 |
2 | 3 | Pure Quality | – | Place 4 | 4.00 | 6.48 | 26.76% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 5.56 | 1.94 | 1.05 | 0.66 |
3 | 4 | Princess Zena | 2 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 16.34 | 29.27% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
3 | 1 | Royal Windsor | 3 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 6.97 | 27.03% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
4 | 5 | Soho Spirit | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 4.58 | 31.71% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.56 | 0.22 | 0.08 |
4 | 2 | Modakhar | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 4.91 | 30.90% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 1.55 | 0.61 | 0.22 |
5 | 8 | Arion Express | 4 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.23 | 29.88% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.52 | 0.31 |
5 | 4 | Crystal Stream | 3 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 20.16 | 29.58% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.15 | 0.70 |
6 | 8 | Silver Fountain | – | Place 2 | 4.00 | 11.52 | 29.69% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.65 |
6 | 6 | Alaskan Fate | 2 | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.23 | 29.63% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.49 | 0.29 |
7 | 6 | Lumiere | 3 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 9.26 | 31.52% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.72 |
7 | 3 | Victoria Tower | 2 | Place 3 | 4.00 | 5.84 | 30.36% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.49 | 0.29 |
8 | 1 | Golden Chance | 4 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 31.90% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.52 | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.07 |
8 | 4 | Step Lively | – | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.32 | 29.03% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.86 | 0.85 | 0.34 | 0.14 |
9 | 14 | Rock The Cot | – | Place 4 | 7.00 | 14.44 | 27.75% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 6.67 | 2.80 | 1.73 | 1.13 |
9 | 3 | Selailai | 2 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 34.64 | 27.41% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 10.00 | 4.20 | 2.60 | 1.70 |
Invest Amount: 75.00 <–> Gain Amount: 176.86 <–> Expected Profit: 101.86 = 135.81%
11/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Inside
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. A few PAs yesterday and it seems like a few horses of interest today.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 7 | Miss Venezuela | – | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 29.27% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.68 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
1 | 3 | Slightly Spanish | 3 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 17.50 | 24.66% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 16.67 | 5.66 | 2.66 | 1.33 |
2 | 1 | Say When | 1 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.06 | 29.87% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
2 | 10 | Golden Spoon | 3 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.79 | 28.62% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.20 | 0.56 | 0.28 |
3 | 3 | Heart Stwings | 3 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 5.24 | 35.67% | 30.10% | 56.37% | 1.11 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
3 | 1 | Shivers | 2 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 8.51 | 28.77% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.20 | 0.52 | 0.00 |
4 | 3 | Kay Tee Perry | 3 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 7.51 | 31.16% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.88 | 0.52 |
4 | 5 | Sparkling Water | 1 | Place 4 | 4.00 | 5.39 | 30.58% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.86 | 1.14 | 0.62 | 0.37 |
5 | 7 | Banha Bridge | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 12.52 | 30.53% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.96 | 0.64 |
5 | 8 | Storm Commander | – | Place 2 | 2.00 | 6.17 | 29.01% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.33 | 0.88 |
6 | 3 | Crank It Up | 1 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.79 | 33.12% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
6 | 7 | August Rain | 3 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.79 | 28.56% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.84 | 0.48 |
7 | 6 | Dubawi Princess | 4 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 5.61 | 28.39% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.67 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.13 |
7 | 4 | Persica | 2 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 26.47% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 3.33 | 1.19 | 0.56 | 0.26 |
8 | 6 | Vars Vicky | 1 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.08 | 28.19% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.25 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.08 |
8 | 7 | Spring Break | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 10.69 | 28.04% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.21 | 0.53 | 0.24 |
9 | 7 | In The Game | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 19.10 | 26.59% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 12.50 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 1.87 |
9 | 3 | In For A Penny | – | Place 3 | 5.00 | 16.28 | 25.34% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 10.00 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 127.71 <–> Expected Profit: 70.71 = 124.05%
10/Feb/2021 — #Greyville Polytrack
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Not changes to the selections or the betting strategy yet.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 11 | Indigo Moon | – | Place 4 | 5.00 | 5.94 | 28.50% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.72 | 0.34 | 0.20 |
1 | 8 | Space Race | 1 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.51 | 27.94% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.82 | 0.65 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
2 | 10 | Siwa Oasis | 2 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 6.55 | 29.76% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 1.66 | 0.72 | 0.33 |
2 | 5 | Just The Wind | 3 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.62 | 28.58% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 1.66 | 0.72 | 0.33 |
3 | 3 | Rock Flight | 2 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 5.19 | 30.10% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 0.72 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
3 | 7 | Golden Duck | 1 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 8.65 | 28.05% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.27 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
4 | 6 | Lotus | 2 | Place 4 | 6.00 | 7.52 | 26.33% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 2.27 | 0.86 | 0.45 | 0.27 |
4 | 12 | Bell Jar | 3 | Place 3 | 4.00 | 10.24 | 24.69% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 8.33 | 3.16 | 1.66 | 0.99 |
5 | 2 | Whizz Of Odds | 4 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.32 | 31.66% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.21 | 0.49 | 0.17 |
5 | 5 | Naoshima | 3 | Place 4 | 5.00 | 5.75 | 27.46% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.33 | 1.13 | 0.46 | 0.16 |
6 | 6 | Umzinduzi | 4 | Place 2 | 9.00 | 17.46 | 27.16% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.30 |
6 | 7 | Purple Moon’s Up | 2 | Place 4 | 10.00 | 17.99 | 25.91% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 7.14 | 2.85 | 1.49 | 0.85 |
7 | 8 | Good Rhythm | 3 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 12.35 | 30.75% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.16 | 0.66 |
7 | 5 | Ziva La Winter | – | Place 4 | 7.00 | 10.95 | 28.99% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.05 | 0.60 |
8 | 2 | Theravada | 2 | Place 4 | 8.00 | 9.96 | 30.35% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 0.26 |
8 | 6 | Gentleman’s Way | 1 | Place 2 | 8.00 | 24.69 | 30.24% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.22 | 0.72 |
Invest Amount: 89.00 <–> Gain Amount: 151.69 <–> Expected Profit: 62.69 = 70.44%
09/Feb/2021 — #Vaal
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I still have not revised the betting tweaks using Markov Chains or the tweaking of the horses. I’m still busy preparing the international data, it feels like it’s taking forever.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Arctic Skyline | 2 | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 29.34% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.67 | 0.46 | 0.18 | 0.00 |
1 | 5 | On Cue | 1 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 8.21 | 26.67% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.00 | 1.12 | 0.44 | 0.00 |
2 | 4 | Nartjie | 1 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 4.52 | 29.12% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.27 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2 | 6 | Ballet Shoes | 3 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 8.71 | 28.89% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.00 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 2 | Electric Boots | 4 | Place 2 | 9.00 | 20.51 | 28.99% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.00 | 1.36 | 0.72 | 0.36 |
3 | 1 | Aryaam | 2 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.42 | 27.30% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.67 | 0.56 | 0.30 | 0.15 |
4 | 7 | Belle Of Belize | 4 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.28 | 27.31% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.25 | 0.40 | 0.18 | 0.10 |
4 | 1 | Rosaprima | 2 | Place 4 | 10.00 | 13.01 | 26.00% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.00 | 1.28 | 0.60 | 0.32 |
5 | 2 | Ball Rolling | – | Place 2 | 12.00 | 33.43 | 28.27% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
5 | 9 | Sophia’S First | 2 | Place 4 | 8.00 | 10.93 | 27.83% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.71 | 0.39 |
6 | 1 | Rio’S Winter | 1 | Place 2 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 26.79% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.00 | 0.64 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
6 | 5 | Southern Charm | 3 | Place 3 | 10.00 | 20.90 | 26.32% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 8.33 | 2.66 | 1.16 | 0.00 |
7 | 3 | Mill Queen | 1 | Place 2 | 10.00 | 12.91 | 28.84% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.11 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
7 | 5 | Kayla’S Champ | 3 | No Bet | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.75% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 5.56 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
8 | 2 | Sarah | 3 | Place 2 | 10.00 | 14.79 | 26.74% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.43 | 0.51 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
8 | 4 | Before The Dawn | – | Place 4 | 12.00 | 23.28 | 24.86% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 10.00 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
Invest Amount: 103.00 <–> Gain Amount: 182.53 <–> Expected Profit: 79.53 = 77.21%
08/Feb/2021 — #Fairview Polytrack
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Today, I’ll be having a deeper look at the Markov Chains as well as some smaller tweaks to the horses selection. I’m hoping to have the international selections testing within this week.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Just So Easy | Scr | Place 4 | 6.00 | 8.48 | 27.25% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.80 | 0.44 |
1 | 5 | Al’S Lass | – | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.68 | 26.96% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.33 | 1.26 | 0.66 | 0.36 |
2 | 2 | Demonte | 3 | Place 3 | 6.00 | 10.51 | 24.20% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 5.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.45 |
2 | 11 | Emerald Floe | 2 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.06 | 23.41% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 0.77 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
3 | 5 | Sunshine Beach | 3 | Place 3 | 6.00 | 8.99 | 26.30% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 1.14 | 0.53 | 0.00 |
3 | 2 | Flying Thunder | 1 | Place 3 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 26.20% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.11 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.00 |
4 | 5 | Green Dragon | – | Place 4 | 8.00 | 9.20 | 29.32% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.82 | 0.61 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
4 | 1 | Calandra | 4 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 28.83% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.55 | 1.54 | 0.81 | 0.40 |
5 | 1 | Philos | – | Place 4 | 5.00 | 6.22 | 29.72% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.33 | 1.06 | 0.56 | 0.26 |
5 | 2 | Norfolk Pine | – | Place 2 | 5.00 | 12.52 | 26.70% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 5.00 | 1.60 | 0.85 | 0.40 |
6 | 8 | Oasis Queen | – | Place 4 | 7.00 | 21.48 | 27.57% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 20.00 | 7.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 |
6 | 2 | Turn It Up Harvey | 4 | Place 4 | 10.00 | 13.67 | 26.57% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 1.28 | 0.71 | 0.39 |
7 | 3 | Pluviophile | 4 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 12.71 | 25.83% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.33 | 1.19 | 0.59 | 0.29 |
7 | 6 | Jay Fizz | – | Place 4 | 7.00 | 9.11 | 23.68% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 3.57 | 1.28 | 0.64 | 0.32 |
8 | 1 | Mesmerizing Moon | 2 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 4.18 | 29.90% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.86 | 1.14 | 0.65 | 0.42 |
8 | 2 | Beneficiary | 1 | Place 2 | 10.00 | 47.60 | 27.70% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 10.00 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.50 |
Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 170.94 <–> Expected Profit: 86.94 = 103.50%
2021-02-07, #Scottsville ,ZA
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I have not had a chance of working on it this weekend, but I’m thinking of pulling in some concepts of Markov-Chains. Still in its infancy, I’ll kick some ideas around and see if its feasible. It would be nice is all of the choices come in, but let us be realistic and expect some of them to be losses and we don’t want one loss to cost us three further bets.. I will be exploring this further as stated above. The idea is to maximize our bets, but at the least risk to us or our bets.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 7 | Crested Eagle | 4 | Place 2 | 4.00 | 7.76 | 26.19% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.35 |
1 | 13 | Spina Zonke | 3 | Place 2 | 7.00 | 33.32 | 26.13% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 10.00 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.40 |
2 | 2 | Sugar And Spice | 1 | Place 4 | 6.00 | 6.68 | 32.78% | 28.62% | 53.65% | 1.52 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.12 |
2 | 11 | Drogarati | 4 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 12.03 | 28.04% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 1.07 | 0.57 | 0.28 |
3 | 6 | Masango Machine | 1 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.37 | 26.22% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.33 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 0.13 |
3 | 14 | Coromandel | 4 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 9.72 | 25.93% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.00 | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0.20 |
4 | 1 | Komodosan | – | Place 4 | 9.00 | 10.18 | 25.98% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.33 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
4 | 6 | What A Ryder | 3 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 4.24 | 23.56% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 4.00 | 1.44 | 0.76 | 0.44 |
5 | 3 | Silva Magic | 1 | Place 2 | 9.00 | 17.04 | 28.14% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.50 | 0.95 | 0.55 | 0.32 |
5 | 12 | Sea Venture | – | Place 4 | 11.00 | 17.72 | 27.19% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 0.65 |
6 | 5 | Calvino | – | Place 4 | 9.00 | 18.64 | 24.80% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 7.14 | 2.99 | 1.78 | 1.14 |
6 | 2 | Rocket Fire- | Place 4 | 4.00 | 7.99 | 23.60% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 6.67 | 2.80 | 1.66 | 1.06 | |
7 | 8 | Global Ash | – | Place 2 | 9.00 | 21.61 | 26.45% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 1.49 | 0.89 | 0.57 |
7 | 3 | Brass Bell | – | Place 3 | 11.00 | 47.91 | 25.82% | 13.71% | 38.33% | 14.29 | 6.00 | 3.57 | 2.28 |
8 | 2 | Emerald Isla | 3 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 5.14 | 27.77% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 7.69 | 2.61 | 1.38 | 0.76 |
8 | 1 | Shape Of You | 2 | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 26.26% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 0.83 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.08 |
Invest Amount: 102.00 <–> Gain Amount: 225.50 <–> Expected Profit: 123.50 = 121.08%
2021-02-06, #Kenilworth ,ZA – # Turffontein abandoned
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well we missed out on our hat-trick yesterday, but it is definitely knocking on the door. Once again, I’m betting on both of the top 2 with about R100.00 as the cap and using the Hollywood Bets for the odds. As I keep re-iterating, the betting strategy is still very experimental where I’m aiming for the highest profitability at the lowest risk so they will still be all over the place. However, the horses that are selected is becoming more and more stable and I doubt much changes shall happen there.
RACE NO | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 7 | Wind Sock | Place 3 | 4.00 | 5.20 | 26.20% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.50 | 0.75 | 0.32 | 0.00 | |
1 | 3 | Cosmic Highway | 1 | Place 3 | 3.00 | 6.67 | 25.58% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 10.00 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
2 | 3 | Gimme Dat | 1 | Place 4 | 10.00 | 12.54 | 26.59% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.27 | 0.79 | 0.45 | 0.27 |
2 | 6 | Grayswood Pink | Place 4 | 5.00 | 7.82 | 26.44% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 5.00 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 0.60 | |
3 | 1 | High Moon | 1 | Place 4 | 6.00 | 6.17 | 34.66% | 28.62% | 53.65% | 0.63 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
3 | 2 | Futura’s Hope | 2 | Place 4 | 8.00 | 9.58 | 27.71% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.57 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 0.21 |
4 | 2 | Cape To Rio | 4 | Place 4 | 12.00 | 14.26 | 27.45% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.82 | 0.63 | 0.34 | 0.20 |
4 | 1 | Subterfuge | Place 4 | 9.00 | 12.72 | 24.99% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.00 | 1.40 | 0.76 | 0.44 | |
5 | 2 | Alfred’s Girl | Place 3 | 7.00 | 17.79 | 27.32% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 7.14 | 2.64 | 1.64 | 0.92 | |
5 | 3 | Springisintheair | Place 4 | 10.00 | 17.61 | 27.27% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 6.25 | 2.31 | 1.43 | 0.81 | |
6 | 1 | Hello Winter Hello | Place 4 | 2.00 | 2.68 | 30.16% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 4.55 | 1.59 | 0.77 | 0.36 | |
6 | 5 | Capitana | 2 | Place 4 | 6.00 | 6.68 | 29.35% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 1.52 | 0.53 | 0.25 | 0.12 |
7 | 5 | Worlds Your Oyster | Place 3 | 11.00 | 14.10 | 28.99% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 3.03 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.00 | |
7 | 1 | Gainsford | 3 | Place 2 | 6.00 | 10.23 | 27.05% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 2.50 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
8 | 2 | Irish Morning | 1 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.21 | 35.49% | 28.62% | 53.65% | 2.00 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.22 |
8 | 1 | Bernie | 3 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 29.34% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 5.56 | 1.94 | 1.11 | 0.61 |
Invest Amount: 101.00 <–> Gain Amount: 146.83 <–> Expected Profit: 45.83 = 45.38%
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well yesterday we hit the 2 Jackpots and the PA about 10 times, the day before, the PA about 11 times, so hoping for a hat-trick today. I modified the program to that it takes a bet on both of the top 2 in the race instead of one or the other thus spreading the money even more. I have also pushed the target profit to exceed 40%. This way the program is forced to take the higher risk bets instead of simply staying with the safer Place3 and Place 4 bets.
RACE | HORSE NO | FINISHED | HORSE NAME | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 6 | 3 | Sound Check | Place 3 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 29.26% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.11 | 0.27 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
1 | 5 | 2 | Pot Sox | Place 3 | 4.00 | 4.64 | 29.02% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
2 | 2 | 1 | Colorado Springs | Place 2 | 2.00 | 2.55 | 30.34% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2 | 1 | 2 | Palo Alto | Place 2 | 9.00 | 13.91 | 28.69% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 2 | 3 | Que Cosas | Place 2 | 8.00 | 9.35 | 28.48% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.25 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3 | 1 | 1 | Trippin The Stars | Place 2 | 8.00 | 10.56 | 27.70% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.27 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
4 | 4 | 4 | Regimental | Place 2 | 6.00 | 6.56 | 30.55% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 0.72 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
4 | 1 | 1 | Varsity Bourbon | Place 2 | 6.00 | 11.25 | 29.61% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 6.25 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
5 | 4 | 4 | Cianna | Place 2 | 5.00 | 7.21 | 26.69% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 2.50 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
5 | 7 | – | Red Rules | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.99 | 25.37% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 5.56 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
6 | 6 | 4 | Brandina | Place 2 | 12.00 | 19.33 | 32.98% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
6 | 4 | 3 | Tawny Jet | Place 2 | 1.00 | 1.61 | 31.08% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
7 | 3 | 1 | Santa Therese | Place 2 | 8.00 | 8.53 | 36.41% | 30.10% | 56.37% | 0.63 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
7 | 2 | – | Herrin | Place 2 | 8.00 | 14.39 | 31.53% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 7.14 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
8 | 1 | 2 | Duke Of Cards | Place 2 | 6.00 | 12.77 | 30.95% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.00 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
8 | 6 | – | Arrabiata | Win | 12.00 | 74.72 | 29.28% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Invest Amount: 98.00 <–> Gain Amount: 201.50 <–> Expected Profit: 103.50 = 105.61%
I am stopping with the standard selections at this stage, and I might pop them in now and again especially when one of the bigger races are on the cards. I need to specialise on one of the options instead of becoming a mediocre Jack-of-all-trades.
2021-02-04, #Vaal ,ZA
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well there were a bunch of PAs yesterday, just missing the Bi-Pot on the last leg, but no problem, we soldier on.
RACE | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 | Sonny Quinn | 4 | Win | 6.00 | 28.56 | 29.95% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.20 | 0.56 | 0.32 |
1 | 1 | Imitation Game | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 28.21% | 18.30% | 46.86% | 8.33 | 2.49 | 1.16 | 0.66 | |
2 | 1 | Jam Fancy | 1 | Win | 1.00 | 2.04 | 28.64% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.11 | 0.37 | 0.19 | 0.11 |
2 | 3 | Sky Kingdom | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 23.30% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 4.55 | 1.54 | 0.81 | 0.45 |
3 | 12 | Irish Willow | 2 | Place 4 | 12.00 | 12.68 | 25.66% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.11 | 0.06 |
3 | 2 | Blue Spark | 3 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 24.51% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 2.00 | 0.60 | 0.26 | 0.14 |
4 | 3 | Wolffs World | 1 | Win | 8.00 | 18.00 | 36.43% | 30.10% | 56.37% | 1.33 | 0.42 | 0.21 | 0.10 |
4 | 2 | Mohican | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 25.68% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 5.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 | |
5 | 4 | Bold Resolve | Place 3 | 4.00 | 7.08 | 26.29% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 3.57 | 1.42 | 0.82 | 0.46 | |
5 | 5 | Don’t Look Back | 1 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 24.52% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.59 |
6 | 8 | Godswood | 4 | Win | 3.00 | 12.39 | 30.04% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.33 | 1.19 | 0.59 | 0.29 |
6 | 3 | Valyrian King | 1 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 28.16% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.67 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.15 |
7 | 1 | Gallic Princess | 2 | Win | 11.00 | 29.82 | 28.47% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.82 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
7 | 5 | Wisteria Walk | 1 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 27.78% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
8 | 4 | Rock You | 1 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 29.24% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.88 | 0.52 |
8 | 2 | Bella Rosa | 4 | Place 3 | 2.00 | 3.24 | 28.38% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.03 | 1.21 | 0.66 | 0.39 |
Invest Amount: 47.00 <–> Gain Amount: 113.81 <–> Expected Profit: 66.81 = 142.15%
The Standard Selections:
- 3 Sonny Quinn, 2 Just As Rich, 6 Racing Man, 1 Imitation Game, 4 Rock The Kazvar, 5 Life Goes On
- 10 Magic Choice, 1 Jam Fancy, 3 Sky Kingdom, 4 Smelting, 2 Cape Diamond, 9 Lucy In The Sky
- 1 Battle Force, 8 Double Martini, 2 Blue Spark, 12 Irish Willow, 13 Riveting, 7 Diamond Shine
- 1 Ice Lord, 3 Wolffs World, 2 Mohican (arg), 5 Humble Tune, 10 Private Ruler, 6 Twice The Surge
- 4 Bold Resolve, 8 Major Return, 6 Kings Cup, 2 Cash Time, 1 Master And Man, 7 Super Handsome
- 3 Valyrian King, 8 Godswood, 5 All Of Me, 7 Spanish Boy, 2 Singfonico, 4 Isphan
- 5 Wisteria Walk, 1 Gallic Princess, 2 Marygold, 3 Saragon, 4 Rouge Allure, 6 Princess Nicole
- 4 Rock You, 5 Keepingthepeace, 9 Bitter Wind, 10 Tulip Way, 8 Kapama, 2 Bella Rosa
2021-02-03, #Greyville ,ZA
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Considering the wet weather up here, we were relatively controlled coming just under our original investment amount. After the wet weather, 0nce the courses become a bit more predictable, we should have more reasonable results.
RACE | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Alwaysonmymind | 1 | Place 4 | 12.00 | 12.45 | 34.27% | 30.10% | 56.37% | 0.87 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.04 |
1 | 1 | Good Girl | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 28.79% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.44 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
2 | 5 | Matadora’s Parade | Place 4 | 8.00 | 10.63 | 30.78% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 3.57 | 1.24 | 0.67 | 0.35 | |
2 | 6 | Noemi | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 29.15% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.86 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.28 |
3 | 4 | Murphy’S Station | Place 4 | 2.00 | 3.47 | 23.50% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 7.14 | 2.49 | 1.28 | 0.78 | |
3 | 11 | Deorsa | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 23.38% | 15.20% | 41.05% | 7.14 | 2.49 | 1.28 | 0.78 |
4 | 1 | Wishful Girl Linn | 1 | Place 4 | 11.00 | 13.07 | 30.07% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.00 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.20 |
4 | 10 | Tupelo Honey | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 27.60% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.50 | 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.25 |
5 | 5 | Guru’s Pride | 1 | Place 4 | 1.00 | 1.16 | 32.39% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.86 | 0.91 | 0.42 | 0.17 |
5 | 2 | Caliente | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 28.53% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 2.50 | 0.80 | 0.37 | 0.15 |
6 | 8 | Favour | Place 3 | 12.00 | 28.13 | 29.12% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 6.25 | 2.50 | 1.43 | 0.81 | |
6 | 2 | Run To Denmark | 3 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 29.12% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.59 |
7 | 7 | The Bayou | 3 | Place 4 | 3.00 | 5.59 | 29.81% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 7.14 | 2.71 | 1.64 | 0.92 |
7 | 4 | Ralph The Rascal | 2 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 29.09% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 5.56 | 2.11 | 1.27 | 0.72 |
8 | 8 | State Of Mind | 2 | Place 3 | 4.00 | 7.31 | 30.42% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.00 | 1.52 | 0.88 | 0.48 |
8 | 9 | Meet At The George | 1 | No Bet | — | 0.00 | 29.76% | 19.78% | 49.58% | 4.55 | 1.72 | 1.00 | 0.54 |
Invest Amount: 53.00 <–> Gain Amount: 81.81 <–> Expected Profit: 28.81 = 54.36% <–>Actual Profit -> -13.42
The Standard Selections:
- 2 Alwaysonmymind, 12 English Princess, 5 Duchessofcornwall, 8 Shower Of Silver, 6 Soweto Hall, 3 Top Honours
- 7 Irish Belle, 5 Matadora’s Parade, 9 Her Royal Majesty, 10 Ginger Biscuit, 2 Sarabi, 6 Noemi
- 11 Deorsa, 4 Murphy’s Station, 3 Crusade’s Star, 7 My Lord And Master, 8 Dear Mr President, 6 Ancient State
- 11 Passivity, 5 Super Fluke, 7 Mission Beach, 1 Wishful Girl Linn, 3 Thru’ The Trees, 6 Harper’s Dream
- 1 Mount Anderson, 2 Caliente, 5 Guru’s Pride, 8 Hexatonic, 7 Duc D’orange, 4 Kapen Pride
- 7 Teichman, 1 Jack Of Hearts, 2 Run To Denmark, 8 Favour, 9 Electric Surge, 10 Gentleman’s Wager
- 3 Tonightsfightnight, 4 Ralph The Rascal, 6 Cool Runnings, 12 Chattertons Keeper, 11 Vinson, 10 Toltec
- 3 Suzi Woo, 9 Meet At The George, 11 Late Night Live, 6 Kildonan Bay, 8 State Of Mind, 10 Cottage Garden
2021-02-02, #Vaal ,ZA
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. A few more small tweaks, Let us see how that goes. Once again no guarantees. The odds was taken from the Hollywood Bets site and the betting strategy will be updated once We have the multiple places odds.
RACE | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | FINISHED | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 | Oceans Pride | Place 3 | 4.00 | 5.69 | 54.08% | 30.40% | 82.10% | 2.27 | 0.86 | 0.45 | 0.24 | |
1 | 1 | Fateofthefurious | No Bet | — | — | 47.46% | 30.40% | 82.10% | 2.86 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 0.31 | |
2 | 4 | Sequoia | Place 3 | 4.00 | 4.23 | 55.52% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 0.72 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.00 | |
2 | 3 | Kuuma | No Bet | — | — | 55.43% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 3.33 | 0.89 | 0.29 | 0.00 | |
3 | 7 | Take Control | 2 | Place 2 | 3.00 | 5.26 | 54.80% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 2.50 | 0.80 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
3 | 6 | Sound Of Warning | 1 | No Bet | — | — | 54.41% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 2.50 | 0.80 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
4 | 6 | Shadow Creek | 1 | No Bet | — | — | 59.98% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 5.56 | 2.00 | 1.05 | 0.55 |
4 | 14 | Grimaldi | 2 | Place 3 | 5.00 | 6.60 | 57.36% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 1.82 | 0.65 | 0.34 | 0.18 |
5 | 7 | Senescence | 1 | Place 2 | 11.00 | 20.31 | 70.23% | 60.21% | 112.74% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.47 | 0.27 |
5 | 1 | Masaaken | No Bet | — | — | 59.56% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 3.03 | 1.21 | 0.63 | 0.36 | |
6 | 6 | Port Key | Place 2 | 7.00 | 18.98 | 60.32% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 0.95 | 0.54 | |
6 | 1 | Odd Rob | 1 | No Bet | — | — | 60.07% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.84 | 0.48 |
7 | 5 | Tartan Dancer | Place 3 | 4.00 | 5.88 | 60.07% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 2.50 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.27 | |
7 | 4 | Emaline | No Bet | — | — | 60.00% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 3.03 | 1.15 | 0.60 | 0.33 | |
8 | 4 | Traveling Wilbury | 3 | Place 3 | 10.00 | 13.38 | 59.19% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 2.00 | 0.72 | 0.36 | 0.18 |
8 | 6 | She’S A Cracker | No Bet | — | — | 55.52% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 5.00 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 0.45 | |
9 | 3 | Push Off | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.70 | 60.01% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.32 | |
9 | 5 | Ice Eater | 2 | No Bet | — | — | 59.52% | 39.57% | 99.16% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.00 | 0.59 |
Invest Amount: 53.00 — Gain Amount: 90.02 — Actual Profit: – 7.45
The Standard Selections:
- 3 Oceans Pride, 1 Fateofthefurious, 4 Wonderful Rock, 6 Lady Calavera, 2 Artscape, 7 Leveche
- 3 Kuuma, 2 Irfaans Boy, 4 Sequoia, 6 Rompin Stompin, 5 Volluto, 1 Hope Is Power
- 3 Heavens Girl, 7 Take Control, 5 Pink Diamond, 4 Hindi Princess, 6 Sound Of Warning, 9 Time To Celebrate
- 5 Parallax, 14 Grimaldi, 6 Shadow Creek, 9 Waltzing Al, 1 Imperial Duke, 7 Forest Phoenix
- 1 Masaaken (aus), 7 Senescence, 4 Rizzoli, 5 Dutchessburnedette, 8 Wonderous, 3 Hot Goods
- 1 Odd Rob, 4 Zeal And Zest, 6 Port Key, 2 Top Shot, 7 Pomander, 5 Tyrus Express
- 4 Emaline, 6 Flower Season, 3 Consol Queen, 8 Mazari, 9 Magogo, 10 Tequila
- 6 She’s A Cracker, 10 Liverpool Legend, 9 Burnt Jasper, 8 Chenopod, 1 Jacko Boy, 3 Daphne Du Maurier
- 4 Crown Guardian, 3 Push Off (ire), 1 Galactic Warrior, 5 Ice Eater, 6 Liquid, 8 Inherit The Rain
2021-02-01, #Greyville ,ZA
The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. As I’ve said before, this is aimed at horses that have a high probability of at least getting a place, it is not aimed at potential flash-in-the-pan winners or outsiders, you will find those in the standard selections.
RACE | HORSE NO | HORSE NAME | INVEST OPTION | INVEST | GAIN | PROBABILITY | WIN PROBABILITY | PLACE PROBABILITY | ODDS WIN | ODDS PLACE2 | ODDS PLACE3 | ODDS PLACE4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Vinodh’S Boy | No Bet | — | — | 52.16% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.67 | 0.35 |
1 | 5 | Que Es Var | Place 3 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 50.45% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 2.50 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 0.25 |
2 | 1 | Spicy Hot | No Bet | — | — | 52.05% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
2 | 7 | Two For Tea | Place 2 | 5.00 | 9.44 | 51.01% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 3.57 | 1.35 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
3 | 2 | Mr Pigalle | No Bet | — | — | 44.25% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 6.25 | 2.37 | 1.37 | 0.75 |
3 | 7 | Flying Peter | Place 4 | 3.00 | 3.34 | 43.37% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 2.00 | 0.76 | 0.44 | 0.24 |
4 | 4 | Brandenburg | No Bet | — | — | 50.50% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.00 | 0.59 |
4 | 8 | A Whole New World | Place 4 | 4.00 | 4.55 | 49.77% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 2.27 | 0.90 | 0.49 | 0.29 |
5 | 7 | Origami | Place 2 | 4.00 | 11.50 | 50.69% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 7.14 | 2.85 | 1.64 | 0.92 |
5 | 4 | Cool Apache | No Bet | — | — | 44.79% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.92 | 0.52 |
6 | 3 | Joint Effort | No Bet | — | — | 43.73% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 14.29 | 5.71 | 3.28 | 2.00 |
6 | 7 | Parktown | Place 4 | 4.00 | 5.18 | 43.34% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.63 |
7 | 2 | Pacific Winter | Place 3 | 4.00 | 7.45 | 51.83% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 6.67 | 2.80 | 1.53 | 1.00 |
7 | 3 | Transonic | No Bet | — | — | 51.60% | 36.60% | 93.73% | 4.55 | 1.91 | 1.04 | 0.68 |
8 | 5 | Rachel | Place 2 | 11.00 | 24.17 | 44.20% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 4.55 | 1.82 | 1.04 | 0.63 |
8 | 12 | Noble Princess | No Bet | — | — | 43.10% | 27.43% | 76.66% | 5.56 | 2.22 | 1.27 | 0.77 |
The Standard Selections:
- 2 Vinodh’s Boy, 5 Que Es Var, 8 Lord Caro, 10 Duchessofcornwall, 1 Theydon’tknowme, 9 Zuberi
- 3 Wave Crest, 7 Two For Tea, 1 Spicy Hot, 12 Pacific Fate, 2 Neverending Love, 11 Polynieces
- 7 Flying Peter, 1 Master George, 2 Mr Pigalle, 8 Montana Sky, 12 Fort Wylie, 10 Maestro Sonador
- 2 Viking Red, 5 Avenir, 11 What A Blast, 4 Brandenburg, 8 A Whole New World, 1 Cherokee Chief
- 1 So Smooth, 5 The Appeal, 11 Querari’s Cowboy, 12 Fireonthetrack, 10 Samsonite, 3 Rock With Me
- 1 Leslies Pathtofame, 6 Hammam, 9 Theravada, 5 Phil’s Power, 7 Parktown, 11 Agent Murphy
- 4 Calgary, 7 Tromso, 10 Roy’s Magic (aus), 8 White Cedar, 9 Dallas, 12 Bordeaux
- 2 Spring Lightning, 7 She’s A Dream, 5 Rachel, 8 Capriccio, 10 Colour Of Light, 9 Rainbow Unicorn