28/Feb/2021 — #Greyville Polytrack was #Scottsville

The Revised High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. The computer is only taking Due, Value, and bets over 3.5. There is the old logic of selecting amounts which needs to be redone in line with this betting strategy.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMECOMMENTINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12Iron Bark*due*Place 22.005.2323.89%25.57%55.00%26.95%4.551.720.950.54
19Crested EaglePlace 21.002.4322.89%19.58%49.36%72.50%4.001.520.840.48
210Trumpet VoluntaryPlace 21.002.3323.72%21.23%49.90%10.00%3.571.420.740.42
28After The RainNo Bet0.0023.29%23.33%50.58%26.95%3.031.210.630.36
37CoromandelNo Bet0.0027.42%26.09%55.88%56.95%1.820.720.400.25
34Sonjador*due* *val*Place 22.008.2626.00%21.63%68.74%12.45%8.333.331.831.16
44Count MarshPlace 22.005.9527.71%23.71%60.19%29.74%5.002.101.250.80
414Fight SongPlace 31.002.5627.42%20.17%53.61%16.68%6.672.801.661.06
55Twice GoldenNo Bet0.0027.61%22.69%57.78%22.42%1.670.600.300.16
57The AppealPlace 22.005.3826.48%23.39%58.98%16.52%5.001.800.900.50
63PrincekreshPlace 21.002.5028.44%22.58%54.35%26.95%4.001.600.880.52
61Storm Chaser*due*Place 21.003.0928.31%29.07%68.71%15.23%5.562.221.220.72
71Lord Of The Manor*val*Place 31.002.6124.69%21.35%50.72%10.04%7.142.991.711.07
77Alado’S Pride*due*Place 22.005.9522.62%18.30%61.10%12.45%5.002.101.200.75
89BhakkaPlace 22.007.6227.31%21.54%61.37%10.00%7.142.991.781.07
81H Two O*due* *val*Place 22.008.5626.35%21.40%66.91%12.45%8.333.492.081.24
910She’S A Keeper*val*Win1.002.2532.45%32.26%61.13%26.95%1.330.500.270.17
96Peaceontherocks*due* *val*Place 22.0010.9324.00%23.78%57.84%10.15%12.504.752.621.62

Invest Amount: 23.00 <–> Gain Amount: 75.65 <–> Expected Profit: 52.65 = 228.91% <–> Confidence: 14.81%


27/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein now #Vaal

The Revised High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. There are a few changes.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDCOMMENTINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Freedom Of Choice1Place 42.002.0627.11%23.71%57.86%12.09%0.630.150.060.03
18Twice The Trip*due* *val*Place 43.003.4825.73%30.36%61.96%10.00%3.570.890.390.17
25Kuuma3Win5.0023.8026.14%30.42%58.24%10.00%4.001.520.840.48
24Kotinos1Place 24.0011.9325.92%20.71%58.32%10.09%5.562.111.160.66
31Royal WulffPlace 41.001.0226.87%23.70%61.13%10.00%0.560.130.040.02
35Flying Bull2*val*Place 24.006.5626.86%23.09%55.73%12.09%2.860.680.220.11
41Naarah*due*Place 32.002.0933.56%38.11%72.50%10.25%0.720.180.050.00
42Bella Chica4*val*Place 23.007.4025.51%19.30%52.29%10.83%6.251.560.500.00
53Arctic Skyline*val*Place 22.004.5629.88%22.59%54.79%42.09%4.551.360.630.00
54Captain’s RunPlace 22.003.1326.99%24.44%58.35%35.83%2.000.600.280.00
67Rapid Fire*due*Place 25.0013.0831.72%25.99%73.01%44.44%4.551.721.000.63
62Anna CapriPlace 45.008.6229.00%23.12%54.11%13.33%5.562.111.220.77
74Rio’s WinterPlace 22.005.2327.78%21.49%64.05%51.39%4.551.720.910.54
75Wisteria Walk2Place 45.007.2627.52%24.52%64.23%15.60%4.001.520.800.48
85Ivalo’s Prince*val*Place 44.004.9428.55%23.78%57.68%10.20%5.001.550.650.25
81Eliud3Place 33.003.5928.55%22.49%54.70%11.16%1.670.510.210.08
92Dancing Arabian*val*Place 33.004.2728.00%22.22%57.89%45.76%3.030.900.450.24
91Rosaprima1*val*Place 44.004.3025.62%20.11%53.49%36.67%1.000.300.150.08

Invest Amount: 59.00 <–> Gain Amount: 117.32 <–> Expected Profit: 58.32 = 98.85% <–> Confidence: 10.00%

27/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Ambiorix2Place 23.003.1425.52%24.27%63.40%31.11%0.630.050.000.00
12Barzalona *due*4Place 26.007.6423.34%28.87%72.23%45.38%3.330.290.000.00
26Winter Mosaic *due*2Place 25.005.8527.36%29.98%69.57%18.62%0.720.180.000.00
21Gimme Dat *due*1Place 23.004.7524.06%35.23%75.34%36.51%2.500.620.000.00
32Bayberry *due*1Place 21.001.2922.83%25.05%60.15%18.62%1.250.310.000.00
31StrathdonPlace 23.003.9922.63%19.41%51.39%24.96%1.430.350.000.00
49Sing Out Loud *due**val*4Place 35.0011.1620.16%23.94%62.05%33.19%6.250.001.310.00
44African Night SkyPlace 37.0011.1518.63%24.74%59.35%18.62%3.030.000.630.00
51Clouds Unfold *due*Place 21.001.1025.75%37.93%76.46%62.05%0.910.110.000.00
54Sleeping SinglePlace 26.0011.1916.09%23.19%56.29%18.62%7.140.920.000.00
62Kasimir *due*Win7.0021.9424.18%29.25%67.50%18.62%2.270.000.290.00
63Rio Querari *due*1Place 37.007.9223.59%35.23%75.33%28.74%1.110.000.140.00
75The Gatekeeper3Place 37.008.4518.73%29.25%67.50%18.62%1.330.000.220.00
72Russian RockPlace 36.0010.7918.34%21.99%61.81%13.61%5.000.000.850.00
813Mounia1Place 22.003.2016.62%23.44%59.67%22.49%4.000.640.000.00
82Edgartown*val*Place 27.0017.5316.52%20.91%55.51%23.79%10.001.600.000.00
912Queen Niyabah*val*Place 23.005.4520.15%21.30%61.08%40.48%6.250.870.000.00
98Paper Trail*val*3Place 23.005.4517.63%20.36%52.59%22.22%6.250.870.000.00

Invest Amount: 82.00 <–> Gain Amount: 141.99 <–> Expected Profit: 59.99 = 73.16% <–> Confidence: 31.11%


26/Feb/2021 — #Fairview

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12Old Glory *due*3Place 21.001.0329.01%37.00%71.43%28.94%0.330.030.000.00
11Cruzador*val*1Place 35.005.1927.81%24.37%59.57%19.41%2.270.270.040.00
23Gin Fizz4Win3.004.7832.86%34.64%66.09%42.27%0.630.150.050.00
22La Bella Mia*val*2Place 25.0010.8824.26%23.20%57.26%49.41%5.001.250.450.00
34StepitupbabyPlace 44.005.6519.96%17.05%45.54%14.61%4.001.520.800.44
32RooibosPlace 23.008.3618.07%19.57%57.71%31.63%5.001.901.000.55
43Demonte2Place 22.003.0521.13%19.38%49.76%45.60%1.670.560.230.11
41Bezos1Place 22.003.1516.88%17.75%47.02%13.02%1.820.610.250.12
51Atyaab1Place 26.006.6227.35%20.85%53.00%14.61%0.560.110.030.00
52Rock AloePlace 34.004.7524.09%23.96%58.29%58.94%2.860.570.200.00
66Beyond TemtationPlace 28.0034.8516.15%14.67%48.65%11.17%8.503.572.041.36
68Cerelia2Place 21.004.2816.10%16.27%47.70%31.63%8.333.491.991.33
71Global Drummer1Place 33.003.2826.22%22.42%55.10%47.18%1.250.320.100.00
76Tarantino2Place 31.001.0818.59%19.53%49.42%47.46%1.110.280.080.00
85Frankie Two Shoes*val*Place 35.0010.8819.16%24.43%60.90%10.00%5.002.101.250.80
81Winter Tango*val*1Place 44.007.0117.84%20.74%59.39%11.17%5.002.101.250.80

Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 114.84 <–> Expected Profit: 57.84 = 101.47% <–> Confidence: 29.77%


25/Feb/2021 — #Vaal

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I’ve added in an experimental Due and Value bets suffix.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Siren Of Greece *due*4Place 21.001.1232.49%33.56%74.65%10.00%0.500.130.060.03
12Rizzoli*val*Place 25.0015.5325.49%21.56%56.38%12.81%8.332.240.990.58
22Sweet Sensation*val*4Place 24.005.5030.29%25.14%62.67%58.89%2.270.400.060.00
25Al Sakeet1Place 23.003.3427.71%23.68%63.37%14.82%0.720.120.020.00
39Supreme Dance1Place 42.002.2426.98%23.66%59.33%12.22%1.330.460.220.13
31Lazy Guy *due*Place 21.002.3224.04%16.32%64.02%44.64%4.001.400.680.40
41Golden Spoon *due**val*4Place 26.0017.9028.68%25.91%66.10%19.79%5.562.111.110.72
49Bat Out Of Hell1Place 46.007.0726.52%19.97%60.52%30.17%1.520.570.300.19
55Don’t Look Back1Place 26.0010.2927.20%23.65%58.62%11.77%2.000.760.440.28
513Plum Field*val*Place 33.007.4325.94%17.86%45.01%10.00%7.142.711.570.99
65August RainPlace 21.002.0927.96%23.70%61.85%40.34%3.331.160.530.23
64Prospector *due*2Place 24.008.6627.64%27.60%64.33%21.38%3.571.240.570.24
78Un Deux Trois2Place 45.008.2927.14%18.58%49.56%11.35%5.002.001.150.70
73Sun Giant1Place 24.0010.0225.49%16.66%52.38%11.22%4.001.600.920.56
85Anatura*val*Place 25.0016.1423.81%19.82%51.58%14.26%6.252.371.250.68
82Supa Mufti*val*Place 26.0013.6122.06%15.36%47.47%14.07%3.571.350.710.39

Invest Amount: 62.00 <–> Gain Amount: 131.55 <–> Expected Profit: 69.55 = 112.18% <–> Confidence: 10.50%


24/Feb/2021 — Hollywoodbets #Greyville Polytrack

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Southern Cape1Place 21.001.5027.09%21.84%57.28%23.55%1.670.530.210.10
12Gin And Tonic2Place 22.003.2025.97%21.01%54.15%40.00%2.000.640.260.12
27Sonny QuinnPlace 25.0010.0830.82%22.77%58.16%53.55%2.861.080.570.34
25Stanton Street1Place 21.002.9830.00%26.87%60.64%15.49%5.562.111.110.66
32Zodiac PrincessWin5.0012.8532.89%32.64%64.05%23.55%1.670.630.330.18
36Another Love3Place 44.006.5628.14%22.05%58.79%18.97%6.252.371.250.68
42Flying Peter1Place 22.003.8228.79%29.45%64.63%10.00%2.860.970.480.25
45Deorsa4Place 23.004.3528.10%26.04%63.90%30.03%1.430.480.240.12
56Simply Complicated3Win6.0024.7828.39%26.01%60.86%25.13%3.331.130.460.26
51Koopa Troopa4Place 23.003.8526.61%27.18%66.03%11.21%0.910.300.120.07
67The Bayou4Place 25.0013.5529.72%22.77%58.42%23.92%4.551.821.040.63
61Origami2Place 41.001.7227.98%29.08%70.24%11.58%5.562.221.270.77
710Aalsmeer4Place 41.002.0124.34%20.34%60.84%43.33%7.142.851.711.07
71JustadoreherPlace 22.006.7023.51%18.62%65.38%11.21%6.252.501.500.93
85Glitter And GoldPlace 44.007.1225.10%24.54%61.79%11.21%5.562.221.330.83
811Ginger BiscuitPlace 26.0024.7825.07%27.28%52.16%10.83%8.333.331.991.24

Invest Amount: 51.00 <–> Gain Amount: 129.85 <–> Expected Profit: 78.85 = 154.61% <–> Confidence: 10.00%


23/Feb/2021 — #Vaal

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
16Grappler3Win5.0013.5526.91%26.21%63.44%10.00%1.820.610.300.16
19South BoyPlace 33.004.3526.71%22.98%63.58%15.62%2.860.970.480.25
24Sky KingdomPlace 45.007.3026.73%21.67%63.40%10.00%3.571.420.780.49
21Country Mile3Place 41.001.4626.13%21.73%58.61%12.53%3.571.420.780.49
36LagerthaPlace 31.001.4229.58%23.99%63.68%15.07%2.500.950.450.30
31Ice Eater3Place 24.006.3726.17%19.94%52.54%10.00%1.670.630.300.20
45Mind Reader1Win4.0010.2831.08%32.11%64.65%15.00%1.670.560.280.13
41All Of MePlace 25.0010.6929.16%21.82%60.93%42.53%3.571.210.600.28
53Bella Black4Place 32.003.0229.95%24.07%63.04%10.18%2.861.020.540.28
55InformativePlace 32.002.7127.94%27.67%63.21%10.00%2.000.720.380.20
63Putins Promise3Place 42.003.2425.71%17.83%48.61%25.86%5.562.111.110.66
65Harrys SecretPlace 42.003.4125.24%21.22%59.53%12.15%6.252.371.250.75
72Full MastPlace 33.004.6926.32%19.96%55.21%12.40%3.571.210.600.32
71Seven PatriotsPlace 25.0016.3724.71%18.30%51.60%16.00%7.142.421.210.64
87Oscar WildePlace 25.0020.6525.23%17.87%52.67%27.15%8.333.331.831.16
81Against The GrainPlace 23.009.2624.42%19.96%53.23%10.00%5.562.221.220.77
95Nussply2Place 23.009.2625.43%24.18%55.99%28.65%5.562.221.220.72
91Irish RainPlace 25.0016.7525.42%19.02%55.62%10.18%6.252.501.370.81

Invest Amount: 60.00 <–> Gain Amount: 144.78 <–> Expected Profit: 84.78 = 141.30% <–> Confidence: 10.00%


22/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
19Maria QuerolPlace 24.005.4728.96%35.26%69.78%15.28%1.110.390.190.11
18Jewel Of Doha1Place 29.0030.7426.80%23.76%69.21%26.30%7.142.571.280.71
25Camps Bay2Place 29.0011.3728.22%28.78%56.59%48.94%1.000.280.120.05
27Real AdvisorPlace 42.002.5125.98%22.17%66.90%32.01%5.561.550.660.27
31Secret Depths4Place 28.0023.0429.26%21.69%58.01%23.33%6.252.000.930.50
33Brave New WorldPlace 21.001.3328.25%24.59%61.41%35.60%1.110.350.160.08
41Dark TravelWin9.0042.8430.23%29.88%70.11%15.28%4.001.600.920.56
45Opera SwingPlace 31.001.8628.35%23.30%59.69%35.60%4.001.600.920.56
57Salvator Mundi1Win5.0019.2430.75%29.54%69.38%15.28%3.031.090.510.27
58Double Charge3Place 22.004.7130.34%29.73%74.99%32.01%4.001.440.680.36
61Ohwhatanight1Place 28.0011.3829.37%25.14%69.16%35.54%1.430.450.210.08
63Celtic NightPlace 37.0010.2227.85%25.15%66.60%31.76%3.331.060.490.19
71Mr CobbsPlace 31.001.4228.75%25.15%69.16%35.54%2.860.910.450.22
73Real Gone Kid1Place 32.002.5528.67%22.38%57.96%35.60%1.820.580.290.14
83FighterPlace 39.0016.1128.47%24.70%59.82%55.71%4.001.520.840.52
81De BullPlace 27.0017.0023.87%19.94%56.24%29.06%4.001.520.840.52

Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 201.79 <–> Expected Profit: 117.79 = 140.23% <–> Confidence: 33.61%


20/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Standside

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. It seems like there’s still a bit of work required especially for the latter races, but that’s next week’s work. Updated the table taking the scratchings into account.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
15Warrior Captain4Place 31.001.2926.41%21.30%59.38%22.78%4.550.950.310.00
13Retallick2Place 31.001.0225.73%20.54%62.32%17.78%0.400.080.020.00
22Bureau Des Legende3Place 35.006.3226.74%25.43%61.84%12.69%2.000.600.280.12
27There She Goes2Place 24.005.5825.34%20.76%56.04%15.00%1.430.420.200.08
31Lucy Belle4Place 41.001.1727.68%26.78%63.84%12.73%1.820.630.320.18
35Aflame1Place 25.0010.4526.29%21.60%58.14%10.00%3.331.160.590.33
41RiccardoPlace 41.001.1926.63%21.14%63.37%14.45%2.500.870.420.20
410Sarsaparilla3Place 31.001.3625.92%22.87%65.01%23.51%2.270.790.380.18
51Chimichuri Run1Place 43.003.2329.12%26.00%65.67%12.60%1.000.330.150.08
59Battleoftrafalgar4Place 44.004.9824.30%18.10%54.11%10.00%3.331.090.490.26
61BarahinWin4.0014.7528.08%26.78%69.68%10.18%2.861.080.570.31
62Divine OdysseyPlace 21.002.4328.04%22.54%61.60%10.77%4.001.520.800.44
71Shah AkbarPlace 22.005.0128.33%24.04%60.88%10.00%4.001.600.800.48
72Puerto Manzano2Place 32.002.9426.85%22.32%64.28%13.37%2.501.000.500.30
88Kay Tee Perry2Place 41.001.5629.64%25.18%64.79%40.94%5.001.901.050.60
89Seehaam1Place 24.006.8626.59%24.04%60.13%10.00%2.000.760.420.24
96Miracle And WonderPlace 25.0016.7528.35%23.55%62.04%12.60%6.252.501.370.81
94PhoenixPlace 22.003.8827.02%24.62%63.47%10.37%2.501.000.550.32

Invest Amount: 47.00 <–> Gain Amount: 90.77 <–> Expected Profit: 43.77 = 93.13% <–> Confidence: 10.00%


19/Feb/2021 — #Fairview

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Some high probability “due” horses: 4-12-Imperious Duke, 5-5-Roman Royalty, 7-10-Joyful Noise, 8-11-Abia

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12Swazi Queen2Place 26.0011.0828.47%23.55%60.55%63.33%2.500.900.450.25
13Zeta Jones1Place 27.0010.3627.20%21.35%54.84%11.93%1.430.510.250.14
21Marmara Sea4Win8.0015.5232.97%34.89%66.90%28.12%1.000.250.080.00
24Arctic Drift1Place 22.002.5828.66%23.36%59.59%33.33%1.250.310.100.00
36Cape Batis3Place 42.003.0328.64%26.57%64.86%10.00%5.562.111.110.55
37ChaiPlace 27.0032.0026.43%21.56%55.21%20.95%10.003.802.001.00
411Winter’s Awakening2Place 24.006.7126.86%21.67%54.71%11.93%1.820.720.380.23
410Super Noir4Place 28.0033.0426.17%22.04%55.93%20.95%8.333.331.741.08
56Follow The Star1Place 23.003.3727.74%21.67%54.71%11.93%0.630.130.050.00
53Kunming3Place 27.0011.3424.70%18.78%51.06%33.33%3.030.660.240.00
67Looks Like Magic2Place 22.004.5029.41%24.65%61.37%10.00%3.331.330.730.43
64Trippin The StarsPlace 41.001.5526.38%30.10%51.86%51.81%4.551.821.000.59
71World RadarWin2.004.0933.32%34.21%65.44%28.12%1.110.350.160.07
710Joyful NoisePlace 23.006.2130.92%41.19%56.73%42.49%3.571.140.530.24
86Shine A Light2Place 27.0011.1528.26%23.89%58.65%58.12%1.670.630.350.20
811AbiaPlace 27.0038.2528.01%39.70%54.01%34.71%12.504.752.621.50

Invest Amount: 76.00 <–> Gain Amount: 194.78 <–> Expected Profit: 118.78 = 156.29% <–> Confidence: 29.47%


18/Feb/2021 — #Vaal

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I have added a confidence. These will stabilise as what the program gets more feedback and adapts accordingly.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYLINE CONFIDENCEODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
18Ace Of SpadesScrWin6.0028.5628.24%29.13%63.73%18.87%4.001.600.880.56
13Freezing Fast4Place 43.005.1727.18%19.78%52.19%10.00%5.562.221.220.77
21Future Lady1Win4.008.1728.29%26.41%63.35%10.00%1.110.420.230.14
27Bat Out Of Hell2Place 26.0016.7226.07%20.72%57.23%13.50%5.001.901.050.65
31Irish Willow4Place 22.002.4930.98%22.95%70.02%12.81%0.830.260.120.06
33Mirren1Place 24.008.8128.28%21.72%57.79%11.67%4.001.280.600.32
47Orus Apollo1Place 21.001.8528.78%21.92%60.21%25.00%2.270.900.520.34
41Soldiers SongPlace 24.0010.0228.49%22.07%59.45%15.00%4.001.600.920.60
55May Queen1Place 24.0017.1225.09%17.82%56.21%23.33%8.333.492.161.49
54Twelve OaksPlace 43.007.2023.35%15.16%42.87%10.00%8.333.492.161.49
61Mk’s Pride1Place 22.002.5328.41%22.60%55.38%12.76%1.000.280.120.00
63Forever Mine2Place 21.001.5327.49%25.40%67.11%11.98%2.000.560.240.00
74Spanish BoyPlace 21.002.3329.39%23.30%62.89%10.00%3.571.420.850.49
710Sea VirescentPlace 25.0013.5528.27%23.26%61.73%10.65%4.551.821.090.63
84DogliottiPlace 22.005.5929.10%22.27%64.47%11.67%4.551.911.130.72
86Louis The SeventhPlace 35.0011.5327.89%21.45%56.43%11.98%5.562.331.390.88

Invest Amount: 53.00 <–> Gain Amount: 143.17 <–> Expected Profit: 90.17 = 170.13% <–> Confidence: 10.00%


17/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Yesterday, I ended up coming back late from a doctor checkup so I worked on tweaking the program a bit and preparing for the international racing, hopefully that will be up within the next week or two.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
110Voice Notes1Place 23.003.9026.90%20.13%62.64%1.000.320.140.07
17Golden Trip4Place 31.001.8223.96%20.24%52.27%6.252.000.870.43
25Safe Return1Win3.004.3028.36%28.84%72.09%0.460.110.050.02
29You Know Who2Place 21.002.0624.32%29.14%62.33%4.551.130.500.22
33Europeana1Win8.0025.0729.18%33.35%72.16%2.270.810.380.22
37Live My Life3Place 27.0010.0927.92%40.23%62.08%1.330.470.220.13
41Forgetful Girl1Win4.0010.8429.12%29.17%73.98%1.820.690.340.20
410Adderbury Lake2Place 27.0012.6627.34%21.78%63.67%2.270.860.430.24
53Superior Leader3Place 27.0014.5729.61%28.71%74.37%3.031.150.630.36
58ChurchhavenPlace 27.0024.8328.72%27.78%66.80%7.142.711.490.85
61Kitty Cat Chat1Win1.001.5932.61%33.34%66.76%0.630.180.080.04
63Caribbean SunsetPlace 25.0016.7025.09%21.23%55.68%8.332.491.160.58
74Marina1Win1.002.2528.86%27.59%69.05%1.330.470.230.13
79FynbosPlace 25.0015.5827.81%21.91%55.46%6.252.251.120.62
81Royal WatchWin8.0055.0031.21%33.16%74.68%6.252.371.250.75
82Warrior1Place 24.006.0328.63%28.82%68.36%1.430.540.280.17

Invest Amount: 72.00 <–> Gain Amount: 207.29 <–> Expected Profit: 135.29 = 187.90%


15/Feb/2021 — #Fairview Polytrack

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Still a few more tweaks that I want to do on the horse selection before I concentrate on the betting strategy again, possibly look at the exotics confidence levels of the program as well. The final betting will be done tomorrow once Hollywoodbets releases them but the horse selection should not change unless there are scratchings. This is the revised version taking into account Hollywoodbets Place 4 Odds. Below this is the original selection.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Mousey On Over1Place 43.003.1132.79%35.73%80.77%0.910.250.100.04
16Que Cosas3Place 41.001.0827.03%24.02%61.04%1.820.500.210.09
26Broadside2Place 26.007.0228.00%21.19%62.35%0.670.180.060.00
24Wolfgang3Place 23.009.5727.93%26.98%65.32%8.332.330.830.00
34King Of The Moment3Place 42.002.1325.08%21.53%56.19%1.520.390.150.07
36Full Score1Place 24.006.2224.64%20.76%53.95%2.270.590.220.11
42Latest CrazePlace 42.003.1327.26%21.64%54.50%5.001.901.050.60
43Ninjinsky’s Son4Place 44.005.4724.86%21.83%56.43%3.331.260.690.39
52Ruby Rhythm3Place 25.009.2327.22%27.39%70.78%2.500.900.450.22
51Reef Knot1Place 22.004.0525.99%28.40%57.73%3.031.090.540.27
61Aqua Delta1Win4.0013.4032.92%34.81%72.44%2.500.900.420.20
64Duke Of Cards2Place 25.0010.5929.52%25.35%62.48%3.331.190.560.26
72Tawny JetPlace 24.008.6628.32%21.45%59.25%3.571.240.570.24
71Duchess Of BourbonPlace 33.004.3527.03%21.17%58.61%3.031.060.480.21
82BeneficiaryPlace 25.0015.4327.17%21.33%53.41%5.562.221.270.77
84Cherry PopPlace 24.0010.8426.83%27.42%70.78%4.551.821.040.63

Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 114.28 <–> Expected Profit: 57.28 = 100.49%

This is the original selections and betting strategy, above is the revised version taking into account Hollywoodbets Place 4 odds.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Mousey On Over1Place 32.002.2333.93%35.73%80.77%1.000.000.120.00
16Que Cosas3Place 35.006.1327.03%24.02%61.04%2.000.000.240.00
26Broadside2Place 23.003.5628.00%21.19%62.35%0.720.200.000.00
24Wolfgang3Place 25.0013.2327.93%26.98%65.32%6.251.750.000.00
32Pacific DukeScrPlace 33.003.3727.98%27.36%70.78%1.250.000.130.00
36Full Score1Place 32.002.9424.64%20.76%53.95%4.550.000.500.00
42Latest CrazePlace 32.003.8825.90%21.64%54.50%5.000.001.000.00
43Ninjinsky’s Son4Place 33.004.8624.86%21.83%56.43%3.330.000.660.00
52Ruby Rhythm3Win4.0013.4028.21%27.42%70.78%2.500.000.420.00
56Clover ClubPlace 34.007.9926.21%23.02%58.52%6.250.001.060.00
61Aqua Delta1Place 31.001.3833.92%34.81%72.44%2.500.000.400.00
64Duke Of Cards2Place 33.004.2729.52%25.35%62.48%2.860.000.450.00
72Tawny JetPlace 33.004.3028.32%21.45%59.25%3.330.000.460.00
71Duchess Of BourbonPlace 36.008.7627.03%21.17%58.61%3.570.000.490.00
84Cherry PopWin5.0026.3927.77%27.42%70.78%4.550.000.950.00
82BeneficiaryPlace 33.006.6926.35%21.33%53.41%6.250.001.310.00

Invest Amount: 54.00 <–> Gain Amount: 113.38 <–> Expected Profit: 59.38 = 109.96%


14/Feb/2021 — Hollywoodbets #Scottsville

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well the features that I implemented yesterday showed that there’s not enough data for them to be accurate and started giving some exaggerated suggestions. I have reduced the say that they have in the final outcome. Let’s see how that goes..

Revised to take into account any scratchings.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
14Sea CruisePlace 23.0012.3924.51%23.92%59.20%8.333.331.741.08
111Poppy Of Bayeux3Place 31.001.3923.13%19.35%48.21%2.000.800.420.26
27I’m ReadyPlace 35.006.8825.56%18.89%53.93%2.000.760.400.24
29Flying The Star1Place 42.003.4125.12%18.37%48.66%6.252.371.250.75
34Traces2Place 21.001.2429.61%22.89%55.65%1.000.260.090.00
35Filippo1Place 21.001.8626.83%20.67%53.15%3.570.920.320.00
47Legislate’s Dance1Place 21.001.7526.14%22.47%58.40%2.000.800.440.28
413ValenciaPlace 23.0011.6625.83%18.36%50.03%7.693.071.691.07
57Jacob’s Ladder2Place 43.004.3823.91%17.86%49.26%3.571.420.780.49
52Jackinapot1Place 35.0010.7323.22%19.04%45.62%5.562.221.220.77
69Living WatersPlace 32.003.8024.41%19.01%45.43%4.001.680.960.64
611Roy’S PhyscoPlace 42.004.5023.20%15.66%43.98%8.333.491.991.33
79Matterhorn1Win3.0010.0534.42%38.38%70.44%2.500.900.420.22
74MarchingontogetherPlace 32.003.2828.93%23.60%53.83%4.001.440.680.36
82Avenir1Place 22.004.1125.62%21.18%53.71%3.031.120.600.33
81Greenlighttoheaven2Place 34.006.4824.21%19.01%45.04%3.331.230.660.36
96Final DestinyWin3.0015.8327.49%29.51%64.42%4.551.821.090.68
911Cupid’s Song3Place 41.001.7126.63%21.32%59.34%5.002.001.200.75

Invest Amount: 44.00 <–> Gain Amount: 105.45 <–> Expected Profit: 61.45 = 139.66%


13/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Standside

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Some new features added for today’s selections in the horse selections, small but subtle will be checking it out. The win and place probabilities are reflecting too low, you are basically able to double it. I shall correct it in the next day or 2.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
15Ace Of SpadesPlace 43.003.4230.78%14.68%37.58%1.670.560.280.15
18Gold Storm4Place 44.005.8828.18%12.45%32.15%5.561.890.940.50
210Lee ExpressPlace 44.004.6031.94%14.51%37.65%1.670.600.300.16
25Differentiate1Place 32.004.4127.54%12.75%34.30%7.142.571.280.71
32Major Winter1Place 43.003.1733.73%16.25%38.61%0.870.270.130.06
39Dance PartnerPlace 42.002.9427.92%12.50%32.02%6.252.001.000.50
42Rapid Fire2Place 31.001.4133.08%14.23%37.76%4.001.120.440.00
45Sweet Sensation3Place 33.004.0231.04%14.19%35.96%3.330.930.360.00
55BarakPlace 31.001.7533.03%14.44%38.04%4.001.520.800.44
59Apollo Robbins4Place 43.004.1032.74%14.76%37.76%3.571.350.710.39
61Anything Goes2Place 33.003.2330.13%14.18%36.41%1.000.220.080.00
62War Of Athena1Place 32.002.1529.56%14.17%35.79%1.110.240.080.00
72Catch Twentytwo2Place 42.002.4532.90%15.39%38.24%3.571.140.490.24
71Mount PleasantPlace 41.001.1432.33%14.45%37.46%2.270.720.310.15
82True To Life1Place 42.003.1831.69%13.91%37.23%4.551.821.040.63
83Bold RansomPlace 43.004.5830.90%14.72%36.99%4.001.600.920.56
91Zimbaba3Place 32.002.1730.65%14.29%35.64%0.830.200.090.00
92Celestial Love1Place 32.002.4130.56%13.86%37.22%2.000.500.220.00
104ZouavesPlace 34.0013.0232.74%13.20%36.37%10.004.202.401.40
106Whorly Whorly3Place 34.008.1031.20%13.99%37.14%4.551.911.090.63

Invest Amount: 51.00 <–> Gain Amount: 78.13 <–> Expected Profit: 27.13 = 53.20%

13/Feb/2021 — #Kenilworth

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. As stated above, there are a few new features used for the horse selections, which I will be watching and tweaking.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
14Sabina’s ProdigyPlace 47.0015.2329.94%25.07%63.91%12.504.372.371.25
13Piketberg AlleyPlace 35.007.6828.97%23.43%68.14%3.031.060.570.30
21Queen Niyabah4Place 24.005.7731.63%28.66%74.85%1.330.470.230.14
214Orange BowlPlace 45.006.8329.57%24.12%64.15%3.571.280.640.39
38Rose Princess2Win9.0034.6332.06%29.23%76.44%3.031.060.510.24
31Crimson Princess3Place 24.007.7631.55%28.76%75.31%2.861.000.480.22
414Son Of Silk3Place 38.0013.4931.65%29.23%76.44%3.331.260.730.46
41Crack It OpenPlace 27.0018.3227.66%26.64%70.24%4.551.721.000.63
54Somerset Maugham3Place 22.004.7131.06%25.61%66.87%4.001.440.760.40
55Star Of The SouthPlace 26.0010.5729.43%28.47%71.39%2.270.810.430.22
63Captain Flinders1Place 41.001.1431.82%28.24%74.61%2.500.800.350.15
61Knights Templar4Place 47.008.7830.96%25.61%66.87%4.551.450.630.27
75Jailhouse RockPlace 41.001.0733.13%30.20%75.40%1.520.450.190.07
71Vikram1Place 25.009.6529.94%24.65%67.90%3.330.990.430.16
811Van Gogh3Place 45.005.3332.51%38.79%78.18%0.830.270.130.07
87Tales Of Us2Place 28.0020.4131.91%29.23%76.44%5.001.650.800.45

Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 171.37 <–> Expected Profit: 87.37 = 104.01%


12/Feb/2021 — #Fairview

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I shall be testing some new features/tweaks for the bet selections during the course of today see if I can improve on it.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12James Gordon JnrWin6.0015.4234.62%30.10%56.37%1.670.310.080.00
13Norton Sound1Place 31.001.0315.34%9.41%23.61%0.630.110.030.00
215Paris Opera2Place 23.004.0728.86%19.78%49.58%1.110.380.210.13
23Pure QualityPlace 44.006.4826.76%15.20%41.05%5.561.941.050.66
34Princess Zena2Place 27.0016.3429.27%19.78%49.58%3.571.420.740.42
31Royal Windsor3Place 45.006.9727.03%19.78%49.58%3.571.420.740.42
45Soho Spirit1Place 23.004.5831.71%19.78%49.58%2.000.560.220.08
42ModakharPlace 22.004.9130.90%19.78%49.58%5.561.550.610.22
58Arion Express4Place 25.009.2329.88%19.78%49.58%2.270.900.520.31
54Crystal Stream3Place 27.0020.1629.58%19.78%49.58%5.002.001.150.70
68Silver FountainPlace 24.0011.5229.69%19.78%49.58%5.002.001.100.65
66Alaskan Fate2Place 25.009.2329.63%19.78%49.58%2.270.900.490.29
76Lumiere3Place 23.009.2631.52%19.78%49.58%5.562.221.220.72
73Victoria Tower2Place 34.005.8430.36%19.78%49.58%2.270.900.490.29
81Golden Chance4Place 21.001.4231.90%19.78%49.58%1.520.450.180.07
84Step LivelyPlace 31.001.3229.03%19.78%49.58%2.860.850.340.14
914Rock The CotPlace 47.0014.4427.75%18.30%46.86%6.672.801.731.13
93Selailai2Place 27.0034.6427.41%18.30%46.86%10.004.202.601.70

Invest Amount: 75.00 <–> Gain Amount: 176.86 <–> Expected Profit: 101.86 = 135.81%


11/Feb/2021 — #Turffontein Inside

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. A few PAs yesterday and it seems like a few horses of interest today.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
17Miss VenezuelaPlace 41.001.1529.27%19.78%49.58%2.000.680.320.16
13Slightly Spanish3Place 35.0017.5024.66%15.20%41.05%16.675.662.661.33
21Say When1Place 41.001.0629.87%19.78%49.58%0.910.270.120.06
210Golden Spoon3Place 43.003.7928.62%19.78%49.58%4.001.200.560.28
33Heart Stwings3Place 24.005.2435.67%30.10%56.37%1.110.330.140.00
31Shivers2Place 24.008.5128.77%19.78%49.58%4.001.200.520.00
43Kay Tee Perry3Place 23.007.5131.16%19.78%49.58%4.001.600.880.52
45Sparkling Water1Place 44.005.3930.58%19.78%49.58%2.861.140.620.37
57Banha BridgePlace 25.0012.5230.53%19.78%49.58%4.001.600.960.64
58Storm CommanderPlace 22.006.1729.01%19.78%49.58%5.562.221.330.88
63Crank It Up1Place 42.002.7933.12%19.78%49.58%3.571.420.740.42
67August Rain3Place 31.001.7928.56%19.78%49.58%4.001.600.840.48
76Dubawi Princess4Place 45.005.6128.39%19.78%49.58%1.670.600.280.13
74Persica2Place 31.001.5326.47%15.20%41.05%3.331.190.560.26
86Vars Vicky1Place 41.001.0828.19%19.78%49.58%1.250.420.180.08
87Spring BreakPlace 25.0010.6928.04%19.78%49.58%3.571.210.530.24
97In The GamePlace 35.0019.1026.59%15.20%41.05%12.505.003.001.87
93In For A PennyPlace 35.0016.2825.34%15.20%41.05%10.004.002.401.50

Invest Amount: 57.00 <–> Gain Amount: 127.71 <–> Expected Profit: 70.71 = 124.05%


10/Feb/2021 — #Greyville Polytrack

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Not changes to the selections or the betting strategy yet.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
111Indigo MoonPlace 45.005.9428.50%19.78%49.58%2.000.720.340.20
18Space Race1Place 43.003.5127.94%19.78%49.58%1.820.650.300.18
210Siwa Oasis2Place 45.006.5529.76%19.78%49.58%5.561.660.720.33
25Just The Wind3Place 42.002.6228.58%19.78%49.58%5.561.660.720.33
33Rock Flight2Place 35.005.1930.10%19.78%49.58%0.720.150.040.00
37Golden Duck1Place 26.008.6528.05%19.78%49.58%2.270.470.130.00
46Lotus2Place 46.007.5226.33%15.20%41.05%2.270.860.450.27
412Bell Jar3Place 34.0010.2424.69%15.20%41.05%8.333.161.660.99
52Whizz Of Odds4Place 42.002.3231.66%19.78%49.58%3.571.210.490.17
55Naoshima3Place 45.005.7527.46%19.78%49.58%3.331.130.460.16
66Umzinduzi4Place 29.0017.4627.16%19.78%49.58%2.501.000.520.30
67Purple Moon’s Up2Place 410.0017.9925.91%19.78%49.58%7.142.851.490.85
78Good Rhythm3Place 24.0012.3530.75%19.78%49.58%5.562.221.160.66
75Ziva La WinterPlace 47.0010.9528.99%19.78%49.58%5.002.001.050.60
82Theravada2Place 48.009.9630.35%19.78%49.58%2.000.800.440.26
86Gentleman’s Way1Place 28.0024.6930.24%19.78%49.58%5.562.221.220.72

Invest Amount: 89.00 <–> Gain Amount: 151.69 <–> Expected Profit: 62.69 = 70.44%


09/Feb/2021 — #Vaal

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I still have not revised the betting tweaks using Markov Chains or the tweaking of the horses. I’m still busy preparing the international data, it feels like it’s taking forever.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Arctic Skyline2Place 21.001.4329.34%18.30%46.86%1.670.460.180.00
15On Cue1Place 24.008.2126.67%18.30%46.86%4.001.120.440.00
24Nartjie1Place 23.004.5229.12%18.30%46.86%2.270.540.000.00
26Ballet Shoes3Place 26.008.7128.89%18.30%46.86%2.000.480.000.00
32Electric Boots4Place 29.0020.5128.99%18.30%46.86%4.001.360.720.36
31Aryaam2Place 43.003.4227.30%18.30%46.86%1.670.560.300.15
47Belle Of Belize4Place 43.003.2827.31%18.30%46.86%1.250.400.180.10
41Rosaprima2Place 410.0013.0126.00%18.30%46.86%4.001.280.600.32
52Ball RollingPlace 212.0033.4328.27%18.30%46.86%5.001.901.000.55
59Sophia’S First2Place 48.0010.9327.83%18.30%46.86%3.571.350.710.39
61Rio’S Winter1Place 22.003.2026.79%18.30%46.86%2.000.640.280.00
65Southern Charm3Place 310.0020.9026.32%13.71%38.33%8.332.661.160.00
73Mill Queen1Place 210.0012.9128.84%18.30%46.86%1.110.310.000.00
75Kayla’S Champ3No Bet0.000.0024.75%13.71%38.33%5.561.550.000.00
82Sarah3Place 210.0014.7926.74%18.30%46.86%1.430.510.250.14
84Before The DawnPlace 412.0023.2824.86%13.71%38.33%10.003.601.801.00

Invest Amount: 103.00 <–> Gain Amount: 182.53 <–> Expected Profit: 79.53 = 77.21%


08/Feb/2021 — #Fairview Polytrack

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Today, I’ll be having a deeper look at the Markov Chains as well as some smaller tweaks to the horses selection. I’m hoping to have the international selections testing within this week.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
11Just So EasyScrPlace 46.008.4827.25%18.30%46.86%4.001.520.800.44
15Al’S LassPlace 42.002.6826.96%18.30%46.86%3.331.260.660.36
22Demonte3Place 36.0010.5124.20%13.71%38.33%5.001.600.800.45
211Emerald Floe2Place 41.001.0623.41%13.71%38.33%0.770.240.120.06
35Sunshine Beach3Place 36.008.9926.30%18.30%46.86%3.571.140.530.00
32Flying Thunder1Place 31.001.1526.20%18.30%46.86%1.110.350.160.00
45Green DragonPlace 48.009.2029.32%18.30%46.86%1.820.610.320.16
41Calandra4Place 41.001.3828.83%18.30%46.86%4.551.540.810.40
51PhilosPlace 45.006.2229.72%18.30%46.86%3.331.060.560.26
52Norfolk PinePlace 25.0012.5226.70%18.30%46.86%5.001.600.850.40
68Oasis QueenPlace 47.0021.4827.57%18.30%46.86%20.007.204.002.20
62Turn It Up Harvey4Place 410.0013.6726.57%18.30%46.86%3.571.280.710.39
73Pluviophile4Place 26.0012.7125.83%18.30%46.86%3.331.190.590.29
76Jay FizzPlace 47.009.1123.68%13.71%38.33%3.571.280.640.32
81Mesmerizing Moon2Place 43.004.1829.90%18.30%46.86%2.861.140.650.42
82Beneficiary1Place 210.0047.6027.70%18.30%46.86%10.004.002.301.50

Invest Amount: 84.00 <–> Gain Amount: 170.94 <–> Expected Profit: 86.94 = 103.50%


2021-02-07, #Scottsville ,ZA

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. I have not had a chance of working on it this weekend, but I’m thinking of pulling in some concepts of Markov-Chains. Still in its infancy, I’ll kick some ideas around and see if its feasible. It would be nice is all of the choices come in, but let us be realistic and expect some of them to be losses and we don’t want one loss to cost us three further bets.. I will be exploring this further as stated above. The idea is to maximize our bets, but at the least risk to us or our bets.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
17Crested Eagle4Place 24.007.7626.19%18.30%46.86%2.501.000.570.35
113Spina Zonke3Place 27.0033.3226.13%18.30%46.86%10.004.002.301.40
22Sugar And Spice1Place 46.006.6832.78%28.62%53.65%1.520.450.240.12
211Drogarati4Place 26.0012.0328.04%18.30%46.86%3.571.070.570.28
36Masango Machine1Place 43.003.3726.22%18.30%46.86%1.330.430.220.13
314Coromandel4Place 26.009.7225.93%18.30%46.86%2.000.660.340.20
41KomodosanPlace 49.0010.1825.98%18.30%46.86%1.330.470.250.14
46What A Ryder3Place 43.004.2423.56%13.71%38.33%4.001.440.760.44
53Silva Magic1Place 29.0017.0428.14%18.30%46.86%2.500.950.550.32
512Sea VenturePlace 411.0017.7227.19%18.30%46.86%5.001.901.100.65
65CalvinoPlace 49.0018.6424.80%13.71%38.33%7.142.991.781.14
62Rocket Fire-Place 44.007.9923.60%13.71%38.33%6.672.801.661.06
78Global AshPlace 29.0021.6126.45%18.30%46.86%3.571.490.890.57
73Brass BellPlace 311.0047.9125.82%13.71%38.33%14.296.003.572.28
82Emerald Isla3Place 43.005.1427.77%18.30%46.86%7.692.611.380.76
81Shape Of You2Place 42.002.1526.26%18.30%46.86%0.830.280.140.08

Invest Amount: 102.00 <–> Gain Amount: 225.50 <–> Expected Profit: 123.50 = 121.08%


2021-02-06, #Kenilworth ,ZA – # Turffontein abandoned

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well we missed out on our hat-trick yesterday, but it is definitely knocking on the door. Once again, I’m betting on both of the top 2 with about R100.00 as the cap and using the Hollywood Bets for the odds. As I keep re-iterating, the betting strategy is still very experimental where I’m aiming for the highest profitability at the lowest risk so they will still be all over the place. However, the horses that are selected is becoming more and more stable and I doubt much changes shall happen there.

RACE NOHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
17Wind SockPlace 34.005.2026.20%18.30%46.86%2.500.750.320.00
13Cosmic Highway1Place 33.006.6725.58%18.30%46.86%10.003.001.300.00
23Gimme Dat1Place 410.0012.5426.59%18.30%46.86%2.270.790.450.27
26Grayswood PinkPlace 45.007.8226.44%18.30%46.86%5.001.751.000.60
31High Moon1Place 46.006.1734.66%28.62%53.65%0.630.150.060.03
32Futura’s Hope2Place 48.009.5827.71%18.30%46.86%3.570.890.390.21
42Cape To Rio4Place 412.0014.2627.45%18.30%46.86%1.820.630.340.20
41SubterfugePlace 49.0012.7224.99%18.30%46.86%4.001.400.760.44
52Alfred’s GirlPlace 37.0017.7927.32%18.30%46.86%7.142.641.640.92
53SpringisintheairPlace 410.0017.6127.27%18.30%46.86%6.252.311.430.81
61Hello Winter HelloPlace 42.002.6830.16%18.30%46.86%4.551.590.770.36
65Capitana2Place 46.006.6829.35%18.30%46.86%1.520.530.250.12
75Worlds Your OysterPlace 311.0014.1028.99%18.30%46.86%3.030.900.300.00
71Gainsford3Place 26.0010.2327.05%18.30%46.86%2.500.750.250.00
82Irish Morning1Place 41.001.2135.49%28.62%53.65%2.000.700.400.22
81Bernie3Place 41.001.5729.34%18.30%46.86%5.561.941.110.61

Invest Amount: 101.00 <–> Gain Amount: 146.83 <–> Expected Profit: 45.83 = 45.38%


The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well yesterday we hit the 2 Jackpots and the PA about 10 times, the day before, the PA about 11 times, so hoping for a hat-trick today. I modified the program to that it takes a bet on both of the top 2 in the race instead of one or the other thus spreading the money even more. I have also pushed the target profit to exceed 40%. This way the program is forced to take the higher risk bets instead of simply staying with the safer Place3 and Place 4 bets.

RACEHORSE NOFINISHEDHORSE NAMEINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
163Sound CheckPlace 32.002.1329.26%19.78%49.58%1.110.270.070.00
152Pot SoxPlace 34.004.6429.02%19.78%49.58%2.500.620.170.00
221Colorado SpringsPlace 22.002.5530.34%19.78%49.58%1.000.290.000.00
212Palo AltoPlace 29.0013.9128.69%19.78%49.58%2.000.580.000.00
323Que CosasPlace 28.009.3528.48%19.78%49.58%1.250.180.000.00
311Trippin The StarsPlace 28.0010.5627.70%19.78%49.58%2.270.340.000.00
444RegimentalPlace 26.006.5630.55%19.78%49.58%0.720.100.000.00
411Varsity BourbonPlace 26.0011.2529.61%19.78%49.58%6.250.930.000.00
544CiannaPlace 25.007.2126.69%15.20%41.05%2.500.470.000.00
57Red RulesPlace 21.001.9925.37%15.20%41.05%5.561.050.000.00
664BrandinaPlace 212.0019.3332.98%19.78%49.58%5.000.650.000.00
643Tawny JetPlace 21.001.6131.08%19.78%49.58%5.000.650.000.00
731Santa TheresePlace 28.008.5336.41%30.10%56.37%0.630.070.000.00
72HerrinPlace 28.0014.3931.53%19.78%49.58%7.140.850.000.00
812Duke Of CardsPlace 26.0012.7730.95%19.78%49.58%5.001.200.000.00
86ArrabiataWin12.0074.7229.28%19.78%49.58%5.561.330.000.00

Invest Amount: 98.00 <–> Gain Amount: 201.50 <–> Expected Profit: 103.50 = 105.61%

I am stopping with the standard selections at this stage, and I might pop them in now and again especially when one of the bigger races are on the cards. I need to specialise on one of the options instead of becoming a mediocre Jack-of-all-trades.


2021-02-04, #Vaal ,ZA

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Well there were a bunch of PAs yesterday, just missing the Bi-Pot on the last leg, but no problem, we soldier on.

RACEHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
13Sonny Quinn4Win6.0028.5629.95%19.78%49.58%4.001.200.560.32
11Imitation GameNo Bet0.0028.21%18.30%46.86%8.332.491.160.66
21Jam Fancy1Win1.002.0428.64%19.78%49.58%1.110.370.190.11
23Sky Kingdom2No Bet0.0023.30%15.20%41.05%4.551.540.810.45
312Irish Willow2Place 412.0012.6825.66%15.20%41.05%0.910.270.110.06
32Blue Spark3No Bet0.0024.51%15.20%41.05%2.000.600.260.14
43Wolffs World1Win8.0018.0036.43%30.10%56.37%1.330.420.210.10
42MohicanNo Bet0.0025.68%15.20%41.05%5.001.600.800.40
54Bold ResolvePlace 34.007.0826.29%15.20%41.05%3.571.420.820.46
55Don’t Look Back1No Bet0.0024.52%15.20%41.05%4.551.821.040.59
68Godswood4Win3.0012.3930.04%19.78%49.58%3.331.190.590.29
63Valyrian King1No Bet0.0028.16%19.78%49.58%1.670.600.300.15
71Gallic Princess2Win11.0029.8228.47%19.78%49.58%1.820.360.100.00
75Wisteria Walk1No Bet0.0027.78%19.78%49.58%1.000.200.060.00
84Rock You1No Bet0.0029.24%19.78%49.58%4.001.600.880.52
82Bella Rosa4Place 32.003.2428.38%19.78%49.58%3.031.210.660.39

Invest Amount: 47.00 <–> Gain Amount: 113.81 <–> Expected Profit: 66.81 = 142.15%

The Standard Selections:

  1. 3 Sonny Quinn, 2 Just As Rich, 6 Racing Man, 1 Imitation Game, 4 Rock The Kazvar, 5 Life Goes On
  2. 10 Magic Choice, 1 Jam Fancy, 3 Sky Kingdom, 4 Smelting, 2 Cape Diamond, 9 Lucy In The Sky
  3. 1 Battle Force, 8 Double Martini, 2 Blue Spark, 12 Irish Willow, 13 Riveting, 7 Diamond Shine
  4. 1 Ice Lord, 3 Wolffs World, 2 Mohican (arg), 5 Humble Tune, 10 Private Ruler, 6 Twice The Surge
  5. 4 Bold Resolve, 8 Major Return, 6 Kings Cup, 2 Cash Time, 1 Master And Man, 7 Super Handsome
  6. 3 Valyrian King, 8 Godswood, 5 All Of Me, 7 Spanish Boy, 2 Singfonico, 4 Isphan
  7. 5 Wisteria Walk, 1 Gallic Princess, 2 Marygold, 3 Saragon, 4 Rouge Allure, 6 Princess Nicole
  8. 4 Rock You, 5 Keepingthepeace, 9 Bitter Wind, 10 Tulip Way, 8 Kapama, 2 Bella Rosa

2021-02-03, #Greyville ,ZA

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. Considering the wet weather up here, we were relatively controlled coming just under our original investment amount. After the wet weather, 0nce the courses become a bit more predictable, we should have more reasonable results.

RACEHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12Alwaysonmymind1Place 412.0012.4534.27%30.10%56.37%0.870.190.080.04
11Good Girl2No Bet0.0028.79%19.78%49.58%2.000.440.200.10
25Matadora’s ParadePlace 48.0010.6330.78%19.78%49.58%3.571.240.670.35
26Noemi2No Bet0.0029.15%19.78%49.58%2.861.000.540.28
34Murphy’S StationPlace 42.003.4723.50%15.20%41.05%7.142.491.280.78
311Deorsa2No Bet0.0023.38%15.20%41.05%7.142.491.280.78
41Wishful Girl Linn1Place 411.0013.0730.07%19.78%49.58%2.000.700.380.20
410Tupelo Honey2No Bet0.0027.60%19.78%49.58%2.500.870.470.25
55Guru’s Pride1Place 41.001.1632.39%19.78%49.58%2.860.910.420.17
52Caliente2No Bet0.0028.53%19.78%49.58%2.500.800.370.15
68FavourPlace 312.0028.1329.12%19.78%49.58%6.252.501.430.81
62Run To Denmark3No Bet0.0029.12%19.78%49.58%4.551.821.040.59
77The Bayou3Place 43.005.5929.81%19.78%49.58%7.142.711.640.92
74Ralph The Rascal2No Bet0.0029.09%19.78%49.58%5.562.111.270.72
88State Of Mind2Place 34.007.3130.42%19.78%49.58%4.001.520.880.48
89Meet At The George1No Bet0.0029.76%19.78%49.58%4.551.721.000.54

Invest Amount: 53.00 <–> Gain Amount: 81.81 <–> Expected Profit: 28.81 = 54.36% <–>Actual Profit -> -13.42

The Standard Selections:

  1. 2 Alwaysonmymind, 12 English Princess, 5 Duchessofcornwall, 8 Shower Of Silver, 6 Soweto Hall, 3 Top Honours
  2. 7 Irish Belle, 5 Matadora’s Parade, 9 Her Royal Majesty, 10 Ginger Biscuit, 2 Sarabi, 6 Noemi
  3. 11 Deorsa, 4 Murphy’s Station, 3 Crusade’s Star, 7 My Lord And Master, 8 Dear Mr President, 6 Ancient State
  4. 11 Passivity, 5 Super Fluke, 7 Mission Beach, 1 Wishful Girl Linn, 3 Thru’ The Trees, 6 Harper’s Dream
  5. 1 Mount Anderson, 2 Caliente, 5 Guru’s Pride, 8 Hexatonic, 7 Duc D’orange, 4 Kapen Pride
  6. 7 Teichman, 1 Jack Of Hearts, 2 Run To Denmark, 8 Favour, 9 Electric Surge, 10 Gentleman’s Wager
  7. 3 Tonightsfightnight, 4 Ralph The Rascal, 6 Cool Runnings, 12 Chattertons Keeper, 11 Vinson, 10 Toltec
  8. 3 Suzi Woo, 9 Meet At The George, 11 Late Night Live, 6 Kildonan Bay, 8 State Of Mind, 10 Cottage Garden

2021-02-02, #Vaal ,ZA

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. A few more small tweaks, Let us see how that goes. Once again no guarantees. The odds was taken from the Hollywood Bets site and the betting strategy will be updated once We have the multiple places odds.

RACEHORSE NOHORSE NAMEFINISHEDINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
13Oceans PridePlace 34.005.6954.08%30.40%82.10%2.270.860.450.24
11FateofthefuriousNo Bet47.46%30.40%82.10%2.861.080.570.31
24SequoiaPlace 34.004.2355.52%39.57%99.16%0.720.190.060.00
23KuumaNo Bet55.43%39.57%99.16%3.330.890.290.00
37Take Control2Place 23.005.2654.80%39.57%99.16%2.500.800.350.00
36Sound Of Warning1No Bet54.41%39.57%99.16%2.500.800.350.00
46Shadow Creek1No Bet59.98%39.57%99.16%5.562.001.050.55
414Grimaldi2Place 35.006.6057.36%39.57%99.16%1.820.650.340.18
57Senescence1Place 211.0020.3170.23%60.21%112.74%2.270.900.470.27
51MasaakenNo Bet59.56%39.57%99.16%3.031.210.630.36
66Port KeyPlace 27.0018.9860.32%39.57%99.16%4.551.820.950.54
61Odd Rob1No Bet60.07%39.57%99.16%4.001.600.840.48
75Tartan DancerPlace 34.005.8860.07%39.57%99.16%2.500.950.500.27
74EmalineNo Bet60.00%39.57%99.16%3.031.150.600.33
84Traveling Wilbury3Place 310.0013.3859.19%39.57%99.16%2.000.720.360.18
86She’S A CrackerNo Bet55.52%39.57%99.16%5.001.800.900.45
93Push OffPlace 25.009.7060.01%39.57%99.16%2.501.000.550.32
95Ice Eater2No Bet59.52%39.57%99.16%4.551.821.000.59

Invest Amount: 53.00 — Gain Amount: 90.02 — Actual Profit: – 7.45

The Standard Selections:

  1. 3 Oceans Pride, 1 Fateofthefurious, 4 Wonderful Rock, 6 Lady Calavera, 2 Artscape, 7 Leveche
  2. 3 Kuuma, 2 Irfaans Boy, 4 Sequoia, 6 Rompin Stompin, 5 Volluto, 1 Hope Is Power
  3. 3 Heavens Girl, 7 Take Control, 5 Pink Diamond, 4 Hindi Princess, 6 Sound Of Warning, 9 Time To Celebrate
  4. 5 Parallax, 14 Grimaldi, 6 Shadow Creek, 9 Waltzing Al, 1 Imperial Duke, 7 Forest Phoenix
  5. 1 Masaaken (aus), 7 Senescence, 4 Rizzoli, 5 Dutchessburnedette, 8 Wonderous, 3 Hot Goods
  6. 1 Odd Rob, 4 Zeal And Zest, 6 Port Key, 2 Top Shot, 7 Pomander, 5 Tyrus Express
  7. 4 Emaline, 6 Flower Season, 3 Consol Queen, 8 Mazari, 9 Magogo, 10 Tequila
  8. 6 She’s A Cracker, 10 Liverpool Legend, 9 Burnt Jasper, 8 Chenopod, 1 Jacko Boy, 3 Daphne Du Maurier
  9. 4 Crown Guardian, 3 Push Off (ire), 1 Galactic Warrior, 5 Ice Eater, 6 Liquid, 8 Inherit The Rain

2021-02-01, #Greyville ,ZA

The High Probability and Betting Strategy Combined. As I’ve said before, this is aimed at horses that have a high probability of at least getting a place, it is not aimed at potential flash-in-the-pan winners or outsiders, you will find those in the standard selections.

RACEHORSE NOHORSE NAMEINVEST OPTIONINVESTGAINPROBABILITYWIN PROBABILITYPLACE PROBABILITYODDS WINODDS PLACE2ODDS PLACE3ODDS PLACE4
12Vinodh’S BoyNo Bet52.16%36.60%93.73%3.571.350.670.35
15Que Es VarPlace 33.003.8050.45%36.60%93.73%2.500.950.470.25
21Spicy HotNo Bet52.05%36.60%93.73%3.571.350.740.42
27Two For TeaPlace 25.009.4451.01%36.60%93.73%3.571.350.740.42
32Mr PigalleNo Bet44.25%27.43%76.66%6.252.371.370.75
37Flying PeterPlace 43.003.3443.37%27.43%76.66%2.000.760.440.24
44BrandenburgNo Bet50.50%36.60%93.73%4.551.821.000.59
48A Whole New WorldPlace 44.004.5549.77%36.60%93.73%2.270.900.490.29
57OrigamiPlace 24.0011.5050.69%36.60%93.73%7.142.851.640.92
54Cool ApacheNo Bet44.79%27.43%76.66%4.001.600.920.52
63Joint EffortNo Bet43.73%27.43%76.66%14.295.713.282.00
67ParktownPlace 44.005.1843.34%27.43%76.66%4.551.821.040.63
72Pacific WinterPlace 34.007.4551.83%36.60%93.73%6.672.801.531.00
73TransonicNo Bet51.60%36.60%93.73%4.551.911.040.68
85RachelPlace 211.0024.1744.20%27.43%76.66%4.551.821.040.63
812Noble PrincessNo Bet43.10%27.43%76.66%5.562.221.270.77

The Standard Selections:

  1. 2 Vinodh’s Boy, 5 Que Es Var, 8 Lord Caro, 10 Duchessofcornwall, 1 Theydon’tknowme, 9 Zuberi
  2. 3 Wave Crest, 7 Two For Tea, 1 Spicy Hot, 12 Pacific Fate, 2 Neverending Love, 11 Polynieces
  3. 7 Flying Peter, 1 Master George, 2 Mr Pigalle, 8 Montana Sky, 12 Fort Wylie, 10 Maestro Sonador
  4. 2 Viking Red, 5 Avenir, 11 What A Blast, 4 Brandenburg, 8 A Whole New World, 1 Cherokee Chief
  5. 1 So Smooth, 5 The Appeal, 11 Querari’s Cowboy, 12 Fireonthetrack, 10 Samsonite, 3 Rock With Me
  6. 1 Leslies Pathtofame, 6 Hammam, 9 Theravada, 5 Phil’s Power, 7 Parktown, 11 Agent Murphy
  7. 4 Calgary, 7 Tromso, 10 Roy’s Magic (aus), 8 White Cedar, 9 Dallas, 12 Bordeaux
  8. 2 Spring Lightning, 7 She’s A Dream, 5 Rachel, 8 Capriccio, 10 Colour Of Light, 9 Rainbow Unicorn